🐻⬇️🏀

New Haven

Season: 2026
Also known as: New Haven
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1042 (#212) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1056 (#232) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1019 (#299) HCA +62 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +26.8 (#86) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 1.000 (#63) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +64.0 More → 1.000 (#42) NetEff +64.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +22.9 More → 0.934 (#183) AdjNet +22.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +23.8 More → 0.953 (#168) AdjNet +23.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 77.2 | AdjD 61.4 More → 0.808 (#172) AdjO 77.2 | AdjD 61.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.4 | AdjD 57.8 More → 0.790 (#67) AdjO 72.4 | AdjD 57.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.926 (#50) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.904 (#53) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 1051 (#249) RD 350 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-12 vs Purchase - Incomplete score
2025-11-17 vs Bard - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

No roster data available for this season.