Nevada Wolf Pack
2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)
69.3
PPG
70.0
Opp
-0.7
Margin
43.4%
FG%
35.0%
3P%
67.2%
FT%
36.0
RPG
13.7
APG
18.7
TO
73.1
Est. poss./game
65.5
Adj PPG
71.2
Adj Opp PPG
#254
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 843 (#262) | Preseason prior 876 (returning production + recruiting): last season 934, returning -50, transfers -8, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 892 (#256) | HCA +169 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 893 (#259) | HCA +169 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -11.8 (#278) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -11.8 (#278) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.158 (#265) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.299 (#257) | AdjNet -11.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.314 (#245) | AdjNet -10.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.352 (#254) | AdjO 65.5 | AdjD 71.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.353 (#254) | AdjO 65.4 | AdjD 71.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.299 (#263) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.300 (#263) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 876 (#264) | RD 199 | GP 2 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.276 (#257) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
Recency Ensemble
Log Adjusted
Elo
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | @ | Loyola Marymount Lions | L | 64 - 89 |
| 2026-11-07 | vs | Sacramento State Hornets | L | 60 - 70 |
| 2026-11-10 | vs | Jessup Warriors | W | 84 - 51 |
| 2026-11-14 | @ | Utah Valley Wolverines | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-17 | vs | Pepperdine Waves | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-20 | vs | Idaho Vandals | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mahaila Harrison
|
G | 1 | 25.0 | 16.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 12.0 | - | - | - | - | 54.5 | 33.3 | 100.0 | - | 64.9 | 59.1 |
Alexis Swillis
|
C | 1 | 28.0 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | - | 55.6 | 0 | 80.0 | - | 62.5 | 55.6 |
Aili Tanke
|
G | 1 | 33.0 | 9.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | - | 37.5 | 16.7 | 100.0 | - | 50.7 | 43.8 |
Izzy Sullivan
|
G | 1 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | -6 | 3 | -2.0 | -6.1 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 0 | -1.91 | 62.5 | 62.5 |
Sierra Chambers
|
G | 1 | 32.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 40.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Olivia Poulivaati
|
F | 1 | 19.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | -7 | 3 | -2.3 | -5.2 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -2.41 | 60.2 | 50.0 |
Delaney Arredondo
|
G | 1 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | -4.0 | - | - | - | - | 14.3 | 25.0 | 0 | - | 21.4 | 21.4 |
Amelia Raidaveta
|
F | 1 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0 | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
Hanna Jolinder
|
G | 1 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Imbie Jones
|
F | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -20 | 3 | -6.7 | -33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -3.73 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Elle Motherway
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Gabby Ramos
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Taua Puloka
|
G | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Britain Backus
|
G | 1 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | -11 | 3 | -3.7 | -25.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -2.44 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Kendra Hicks
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
52 located field-goal attempts in 1 game (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Mahaila HarrisonAlexis SwillisAili TankeIzzy SullivanDelaney Arredondo
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 9-11 | 81.8 | 18 | Mahaila Harrison 44% (8 pts) | Alexis Swillis 33% (6 pts) | Delaney Arredondo 50% (1 misses) | Sierra Chambers 50% (1 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 6-11 | 54.5 | 12 | Aili Tanke 17% (2 pts) | Alexis Swillis 17% (2 pts) | Alexis Swillis 40% (2 misses) | Mahaila Harrison 40% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 2-4 | 50.0 | 4 | Aili Tanke 50% (2 pts) | Alexis Swillis 50% (2 pts) | Delaney Arredondo 50% (1 misses) | Imbie Jones 50% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 0-2 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Alexis Swillis 50% (1 misses) | Delaney Arredondo 50% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 0-3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Alexis Swillis 33% (1 misses) | Mahaila Harrison 33% (1 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 0-0 | - | 0 | - | - | - | - |
| Right corner 3 | 0-1 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Izzy Sullivan 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Above-break 3 left | 1-4 | 25.0 | 3 | Mahaila Harrison 100% (3 pts) | - | Delaney Arredondo 33% (1 misses) | Olivia Poulivaati 33% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 2-8 | 25.0 | 6 | Aili Tanke 50% (3 pts) | Izzy Sullivan 50% (3 pts) | Aili Tanke 33% (2 misses) | Mahaila Harrison 33% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 2-8 | 25.0 | 6 | Delaney Arredondo 50% (3 pts) | Sierra Chambers 50% (3 pts) | Aili Tanke 50% (3 misses) | Delaney Arredondo 33% (2 misses) |