Neumann Knights
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1132 (#103) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1064 (#153) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 996 (#484) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -7.5 (#224) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -9.5 (#521) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.633 (#109) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.278 (#200) | AdjNet -8.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.268 (#203) | AdjNet -8.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.360 (#208) | AdjO 72.0 | AdjD 78.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.447 (#517) | AdjO 70.5 | AdjD 72.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.368 (#521) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.384 (#513) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 968 (#412) | RD 112 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | DeSales | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Lehman | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-11 | @ | Penn St. Brandywine | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-12 | @ | Swarthmore | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Goucher | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-20 | @ | Widener | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Penn St.-Abington | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Muhlenberg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-01 | vs | Penn St.-Schuylkill | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Penn St.-Lehigh Val. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Haverford | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | Immaculata | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Saint Elizabeth | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Marymount (VA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Gwynedd Mercy | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Marywood | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Centenary (NJ) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Pratt | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Immaculata | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Marymount (VA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Saint Elizabeth | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-11 | @ | Pratt | W | 70 - 52 |
| 2026-02-14 | vs | Gwynedd Mercy | L | 74 - 75 |
| 2026-02-18 | vs | Marywood | W | 84 - 76 |
| 2026-02-21 | @ | Centenary (NJ) | W | 71 - 58 |
| 2026-02-24 | vs | Marywood | W | 84 - 66 |
| 2026-02-26 | @ | Marymount (VA) | W | 75 - 68 |
| 2026-02-28 | @ | Gwynedd Mercy | W | 66 - 65 |
| 2026-03-06 | @ | Endicott | L | 82 - 96 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donte Dupriest | - | 25 | 34.7 | 20.3 | 10.8 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 2.2 | 13.6 | 18.9 | - | - | - | - | 60.0 | 37.5 | 68.1 | - | 63.1 | 60.4 |
| DJ Earl | - | 22 | 35.1 | 18.7 | 4.3 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 3.6 | 18.3 | 6.4 | - | - | - | - | 34.8 | 28.4 | 62.1 | - | 44.3 | 40.3 |
| Jayson Love | - | 3 | 37.0 | 17.7 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 9.0 | 12.3 | - | - | - | - | 70.4 | 71.4 | 62.5 | - | 77.8 | 79.6 |
| Bryan Etienne | - | 16 | 32.0 | 13.4 | 6.9 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 2.4 | 9.6 | 12.1 | - | - | - | - | 45.8 | 53.8 | 74.7 | - | 55.7 | 48.0 |
| Izaiah Johnson Young-El | - | 25 | 27.3 | 7.6 | 4.2 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 5.8 | 8.5 | - | - | - | - | 41.1 | 41.7 | 75.9 | - | 56.3 | 51.4 |
| Julian Phillips | - | 18 | 24.2 | 5.5 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 4.7 | 4.5 | - | - | - | - | 42.4 | 21.2 | 60.6 | - | 49.7 | 46.5 |
| Jarell Keel | - | 5 | 23.9 | 4.4 | 6.0 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 9.0 | - | - | - | - | 57.1 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 66.1 | 57.1 |
| Aarick Salata | - | 20 | 12.9 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 2.7 | 3.0 | - | - | - | - | 38.9 | 32.4 | 47.8 | - | 49.9 | 49.1 |
| CJ Miles | - | 20 | 11.4 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 3.0 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | 32.8 | 12.5 | 37.5 | - | 34.1 | 33.6 |
| Miles Johnson | - | 24 | 7.1 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 2.2 | - | - | - | - | 46.2 | 0 | 26.7 | - | 43.9 | 46.2 |
| Emeer Coombs | - | 19 | 9.5 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 0.9 | - | - | - | - | 24.3 | 33.3 | 40.0 | - | 34.4 | 32.4 |
| Srdan Vujanovic | - | 9 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.6 | - | - | - | - | 37.5 | 40.0 | 100.0 | - | 56.3 | 50.0 |
| Aaron Williams | - | 6 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | - | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 82.0 | 100.0 |
| Tivon Woolford | - | 9 | 2.9 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.4 | - | - | - | - | 28.6 | 20.0 | 100.0 | - | 40.3 | 35.7 |
| Aaron Lewis | - | 19 | 4.6 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.5 | - | - | - | - | 38.5 | 0 | 33.3 | - | 38.4 | 38.5 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG