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Neumann Knights

Also known as: Neumann Knights
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1132 (#103) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1064 (#153) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More โ†’ 996 (#484) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More โ†’ -7.5 (#224) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ -9.5 (#521) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.633 (#109) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -8.3 More โ†’ 0.278 (#200) AdjNet -8.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -8.6 More โ†’ 0.268 (#203) AdjNet -8.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.0 | AdjD 78.4 More โ†’ 0.360 (#208) AdjO 72.0 | AdjD 78.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.5 | AdjD 72.8 More โ†’ 0.447 (#517) AdjO 70.5 | AdjD 72.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.368 (#521) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.384 (#513) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 112 | GP 21 More โ†’ 968 (#412) RD 112 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ DeSales - Incomplete score
2025-11-08 @ Lehman - Incomplete score
2025-11-11 @ Penn St. Brandywine - Incomplete score
2025-11-12 @ Swarthmore - Incomplete score
2025-11-14 vs Goucher - Incomplete score
2025-11-20 @ Widener - Incomplete score
2025-11-22 vs Penn St.-Abington - Incomplete score
2025-11-25 vs Muhlenberg - Incomplete score
2025-12-01 vs Penn St.-Schuylkill - Incomplete score
2025-12-04 vs Penn St.-Lehigh Val. - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 vs Haverford - Incomplete score
2026-01-07 vs Immaculata - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 @ Saint Elizabeth - Incomplete score
2026-01-14 vs Marymount (VA) - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 @ Gwynedd Mercy - Incomplete score
2026-01-21 @ Marywood - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 vs Centenary (NJ) - Incomplete score
2026-01-28 vs Pratt - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 @ Immaculata - Incomplete score
2026-02-04 @ Marymount (VA) - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 vs Saint Elizabeth - Incomplete score
2026-02-11 @ Pratt W 70 - 52
2026-02-14 vs Gwynedd Mercy L 74 - 75
2026-02-18 vs Marywood W 84 - 76
2026-02-21 @ Centenary (NJ) W 71 - 58
2026-02-24 vs Marywood W 84 - 66
2026-02-26 @ Marymount (VA) W 75 - 68
2026-02-28 @ Gwynedd Mercy W 66 - 65
2026-03-06 @ Endicott L 82 - 96

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Donte Dupriest - 25 34.7 20.3 10.8 1.9 1.1 0.6 2.2 13.6 18.9 - - - - 60.0 37.5 68.1 - 63.1 60.4
DJ Earl - 22 35.1 18.7 4.3 3.1 1.9 0.3 3.6 18.3 6.4 - - - - 34.8 28.4 62.1 - 44.3 40.3
Jayson Love - 3 37.0 17.7 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.3 9.0 12.3 - - - - 70.4 71.4 62.5 - 77.8 79.6
Bryan Etienne - 16 32.0 13.4 6.9 2.3 0.9 0.5 2.4 9.6 12.1 - - - - 45.8 53.8 74.7 - 55.7 48.0
Izaiah Johnson Young-El - 25 27.3 7.6 4.2 2.4 1.3 0.2 1.4 5.8 8.5 - - - - 41.1 41.7 75.9 - 56.3 51.4
Julian Phillips - 18 24.2 5.5 3.3 1.1 0.2 0.5 1.3 4.7 4.5 - - - - 42.4 21.2 60.6 - 49.7 46.5
Jarell Keel - 5 23.9 4.4 6.0 1.6 1.4 0.2 1.8 2.8 9.0 - - - - 57.1 0 100.0 - 66.1 57.1
Aarick Salata - 20 12.9 3.2 1.1 1.6 0.3 0.1 0.6 2.7 3.0 - - - - 38.9 32.4 47.8 - 49.9 49.1
CJ Miles - 20 11.4 2.2 1.7 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.9 3.0 1.3 - - - - 32.8 12.5 37.5 - 34.1 33.6
Miles Johnson - 24 7.1 1.7 2.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 1.6 2.2 - - - - 46.2 0 26.7 - 43.9 46.2
Emeer Coombs - 19 9.5 1.6 0.6 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.4 1.9 0.9 - - - - 24.3 33.3 40.0 - 34.4 32.4
Srdan Vujanovic - 9 3.8 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.6 - - - - 37.5 40.0 100.0 - 56.3 50.0
Aaron Williams - 6 1.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.2 - - - - 100.0 0 0.0 - 82.0 100.0
Tivon Woolford - 9 2.9 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.8 0.4 - - - - 28.6 20.0 100.0 - 40.3 35.7
Aaron Lewis - 19 4.6 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.5 - - - - 38.5 0 33.3 - 38.4 38.5

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG