Neumann Knights
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2023 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1127 (#75) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1085 (#171) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 996 (#484) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -8.0 (#232) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -9.5 (#521) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.633 (#377) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.278 (#471) | AdjNet -8.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.268 (#474) | AdjNet -8.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.360 (#477) | AdjO 72.0 | AdjD 78.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.447 (#517) | AdjO 70.5 | AdjD 72.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.368 (#521) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.384 (#513) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 966 (#413) | RD 112 | GP 21 |
2023 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11-08 | @ | Alvernia | L | 79 - 86 |
| 2022-11-11 | @ | New Jersey City | W | 66 - 64 |
| 2022-11-12 | @ | Lebanon Valley | L | 63 - 67 |
| 2022-11-14 | @ | Wagner | L | 52 - 82 |
| 2022-11-18 | vs | Penn St.-Altoona | W | 85 - 74 |
| 2022-11-19 | @ | TCNJ | W | 63 - 60 |
| 2022-11-22 | @ | Penn St.-Brandywine | W | 93 - 61 |
| 2022-11-28 | @ | Penn St. Harrisburg | W | 75 - 66 |
| 2022-11-30 | @ | Lancaster Bible | L | 59 - 63 |
| 2022-12-03 | vs | Salisbury | W | 71 - 66 |
| 2022-12-06 | vs | Rosemont | W | 86 - 64 |
| 2022-12-08 | vs | Washington Col. | W | 89 - 64 |
| 2022-12-10 | @ | Susquehanna | W | 76 - 68 |
| 2023-01-05 | vs | Penn St.-Lehigh Val. | W | 92 - 72 |
| 2023-01-07 | vs | Marywood | W | 101 - 83 |
| 2023-01-11 | @ | Marymount (VA) | L | 77 - 82 |
| 2023-01-14 | @ | Immaculata | W | 72 - 62 |
| 2023-01-18 | vs | Gwynedd Mercy | W | 82 - 79 |
| 2023-01-21 | vs | Centenary (NJ) | W | 80 - 73 |
| 2023-01-25 | @ | Cabrini | L | 65 - 67 |
| 2023-02-01 | @ | Marywood | L | 69 - 73 |
| 2023-02-04 | vs | Immaculata | W | 80 - 62 |
| 2023-02-08 | vs | Marymount (VA) | W | 63 - 62 |
| 2023-02-11 | @ | Gwynedd Mercy | W | 54 - 50 |
| 2023-02-15 | vs | Cabrini | W | 85 - 80 |
| 2023-02-18 | @ | Centenary (NJ) | W | 80 - 64 |
| 2023-02-22 | vs | Gwynedd Mercy | W | 71 - 52 |
| 2023-02-25 | @ | Marymount (VA) | L | 52 - 57 |
| 2023-03-01 | vs | Manhattanville | W | 82 - 75 |
| 2023-03-04 | @ | Alvernia | L | 68 - 73 |
2023 Roster
No roster data available for this season.