Neumann Knights
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2022 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1127 (#75) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1085 (#171) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 996 (#484) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -8.0 (#232) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -9.5 (#521) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.633 (#377) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.278 (#471) | AdjNet -8.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.268 (#474) | AdjNet -8.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.360 (#477) | AdjO 72.0 | AdjD 78.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.447 (#517) | AdjO 70.5 | AdjD 72.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.368 (#521) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.384 (#513) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 968 (#409) | RD 112 | GP 21 |
2022 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-11-06 | vs | Shenandoah | W | 78 - 58 |
| 2021-11-07 | vs | Delaware Valley | W | 83 - 77 |
| 2021-11-09 | @ | Drexel | L | 74 - 103 |
| 2021-11-12 | @ | Widener | W | 92 - 85 |
| 2021-11-13 | vs | Stockton | L | 62 - 91 |
| 2021-11-17 | @ | Swarthmore | L | 68 - 85 |
| 2021-11-23 | vs | Bryn Athyn | W | 94 - 71 |
| 2021-11-27 | @ | Penn St.-Lehigh Val. | W | 93 - 57 |
| 2021-12-07 | @ | Washington Col. | L | 61 - 76 |
| 2021-12-09 | vs | Lancaster Bible | W | 73 - 46 |
| 2021-12-11 | vs | Susquehanna | L | 68 - 77 |
| 2021-12-29 | @ | DeSales | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2021-12-30 | vs | Hood | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2022-01-03 | vs | Penn St.-Brandywine | W | 90 - 67 |
| 2022-01-12 | @ | Gwynedd Mercy | W | 67 - 52 |
| 2022-01-15 | @ | Marywood | W | 85 - 66 |
| 2022-01-17 | vs | Cabrini | W | 84 - 46 |
| 2022-01-22 | vs | Marymount (VA) | L | 65 - 89 |
| 2022-02-02 | vs | Gwynedd Mercy | W | 61 - 45 |
| 2022-02-05 | vs | Centenary (NJ) | - | Preview |
| 2022-02-07 | vs | Immaculata | - | Preview |
| 2022-02-09 | vs | Marywood | - | Preview |
| 2022-02-12 | @ | Immaculata | W | 67 - 53 |
| 2022-02-14 | @ | Centenary (NJ) | W | 86 - 51 |
| 2022-02-17 | @ | Cabrini | W | 68 - 65 |
| 2022-02-19 | @ | Marymount (VA) | L | 66 - 69 |
| 2022-02-21 | vs | Marywood | W | 89 - 62 |
| 2022-02-23 | vs | Centenary (NJ) | W | 76 - 61 |
| 2022-02-26 | @ | Marymount (VA) | W | 61 - 59 |
| 2022-03-04 | @ | Williams | L | 57 - 95 |
2022 Roster
No roster data available for this season.