🐻⬇️🏀

Nelson Lions

Season: 2025 2024 2022
Also known as: Nelson Lions
Program History

2022 Team Stats (1 games)

49.0
PPG
110.0
Opp
-53.5
Margin
29.4%
FG%
40.0%
3P%
20.0%
FT%
25.0
RPG
9.0
APG
12.0
TO
82.2
Pace

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 867 (#709) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 817 (#745) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 981 (#495) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → -26.1 (#871) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → -38.7 (#645) HCA +2.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.7 | AdjD 78.0 More → 0.246 (#648) AdjO 65.7 | AdjD 78.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.062 (#645) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.090 (#646) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 4 More → 824 (#598) RD 350 | GP 4

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-12-13 @ Montana Grizzlies L 49 - 118
2021-12-15 @ Utah Tech Trailblazers L 49 - 114
2021-12-18 @ Idaho Vandals L 55 - 84
2021-12-22 @ Montana State Bobcats L 73 - 124

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
D. Maggi D. Maggi G 2 35.0 18.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 5.5 18.0 - - - 27.3 40.0 0 -1.48 163.6 36.4
R. Davis R. Davis G 2 32.0 13.0 4.0 1.5 1.5 0.0 3.0 7.5 9.5 313 8.0 9.9 33.3 71.4 0 2.19 86.7 50.0
H. Jaden H. Jaden - 1 30.0 13.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 15.0 - - - 0 0 0 -1.09 0 0
V. Conay Fox V. Conay Fox ATH 2 32.0 11.0 6.5 1.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 4.5 13.5 - - - 44.4 0 33.3 -1.41 106.6 44.4
R. Pate R. Pate - 1 31.0 8.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 9.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.47 0 0
T. Mesic T. Mesic G 1 11.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 -2.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 0 -0.82 33.3 33.3
J. Williams J. Williams G 1 23.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 -1.0 -84 -3.4 -4.5 28.6 0.0 0.0 2.24 25.4 28.6
J. Haywood J. Haywood G 1 18.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 2.0 - - - 40.0 0 0 - 40.0 40.0
R. Thompson R. Thompson G 1 14.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 -5.0 148 4.2 6.0 14.3 0 0 1.59 14.3 14.3
K. Webb K. Webb F 2 16.0 1.5 2.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 - - - 50.0 50.0 0 -0.94 75.0 75.0
D. Godfree D. Godfree G 2 9.5 0.0 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 1.0 1.5 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 -0.57 0.0 0.0
P. Kuumba P. Kuumba G 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
K. Coe K. Coe G 1 24.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 -2.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 -0.89 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG