🐻⬇️🏀

Neb. Wesleyan

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Neb. Wesleyan
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1096 (#110) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1131 (#92) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1193 (#17) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -0.2 (#122) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +0.9 (#334) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.771 (#306) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +7.7 More → 0.709 (#272) AdjNet +7.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +7.3 More → 0.702 (#272) AdjNet +7.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.1 | AdjD 66.7 More → 0.621 (#274) AdjO 72.1 | AdjD 66.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.4 | AdjD 66.6 More → 0.608 (#204) AdjO 71.4 | AdjD 66.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.636 (#277) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.652 (#257) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 95 | GP 22 More → 1254 (#28) RD 95 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-09 @ Wis.-Platteville L 62 - 78
2025-11-14 vs Minn.-Morris W 78 - 67
2025-11-15 vs St. Scholastica L 75 - 78
2025-11-21 @ Puget Sound W 63 - 59
2025-11-22 @ Pacific Lutheran L 57 - 75
2025-11-28 vs Dallas W 79 - 70
2025-11-29 vs Crown (MN) W 70 - 56
2025-12-03 vs Central (IA) W 91 - 67
2025-12-06 @ Luther W 70 - 53
2025-12-13 vs Coe W 67 - 63
2025-12-20 @ Colorado Col. W 74 - 64
2025-12-30 vs Howard Payne L 91 - 96
2026-01-03 @ Wartburg W 68 - 67
2026-01-07 vs Simpson W 68 - 57
2026-01-10 vs Dubuque L 74 - 78
2026-01-17 vs Loras W 82 - 74
2026-01-21 @ Buena Vista W 65 - 52
2026-01-24 vs Luther W 64 - 57
2026-01-28 @ Central (IA) W 87 - 66
2026-01-31 @ Coe W 78 - 71
2026-02-04 @ Simpson W 65 - 62
2026-02-07 vs Wartburg W 75 - 72

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Nick Howard - 22 26.9 15.1 5.7 1.7 0.4 0.9 2.0 11.4 10.5 -7 -0.3 -7.8 46.8 32.6 68.0 -0.05 56.6 53.0
Christian Winn - 22 32.4 12.7 3.6 3.1 1.4 0.1 2.4 10.5 8.0 - - - 46.5 34.6 66.1 - 54.8 52.6
Neal Mosser - 20 19.6 9.2 1.9 1.8 1.3 0.0 0.8 6.6 6.8 28 1.6 19.2 46.2 39.8 82.6 1.77 64.7 62.5
Seth Newton - 22 30.9 8.8 7.1 2.5 1.7 0.4 1.4 7.1 11.9 27 1.3 15.9 44.6 39.0 62.5 0.6 57.9 57.0
Jared Townsley - 22 22.1 7.7 2.6 1.2 1.5 0.0 0.8 6.2 6.2 26 1.2 20.8 40.4 36.6 84.6 1.48 55.2 50.0
Devin Holmon - 22 20.6 6.3 3.5 1.9 0.7 0.5 1.1 5.8 5.9 38 1.8 26.8 43.3 26.7 40.0 1.17 47.7 48.0
Amun-Ra Collins - 22 17.3 5.1 1.9 1.7 1.0 0.0 0.6 4.5 4.7 7 0.3 10.0 37.4 34.6 80.8 0.05 51.2 46.5
Payson Gillespie - 18 9.9 3.1 1.4 0.6 0.8 0.1 0.3 2.6 2.9 26 1.7 42.7 39.1 28.1 76.9 0.53 53.2 48.9
Kason Simpson - 21 8.5 2.7 2.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.3 1.9 3.1 -10 -0.5 -14.4 51.3 10.0 72.7 0.5 58.5 52.6
Cash McCullough - 15 4.3 1.7 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.5 -8 -0.6 -44.4 56.2 60.0 100.0 0.96 70.4 65.6
Owen Alleman - 21 5.4 1.3 1.3 0.4 0.4 0.9 0.7 1.3 2.3 21 1.2 30.1 40.7 0.0 33.3 -0.01 40.2 40.7
Reece Carson - 21 5.0 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.1 1.3 1.0 13 0.7 12.9 29.6 26.7 50.0 -1.58 38.2 37.0
Vinni Velkalas - 9 5.1 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.2 0.1 - - - 18.2 20.0 50.0 - 27.4 22.7
Blake Marshall - 2 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.5 -1.5 -10 -0.6 -93.7 0.0 0.0 0 0.16 0.0 0.0
Jaeden Newsom - 4 1.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
James Taras - 2 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Breckin McBride - 1 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Miles Debolt - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Isaac Holmes - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG