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Nazareth

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Nazareth
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1060 (#122) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1168 (#74) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1212 (#20) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +6.5 (#122) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +6.8 (#252) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.920 (#223) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +10.9 More → 0.821 (#211) NetEff +10.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +11.9 More → 0.798 (#275) AdjNet +11.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +11.4 More → 0.794 (#275) AdjNet +11.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.5 | AdjD 62.2 More → 0.638 (#280) AdjO 68.5 | AdjD 62.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 55.4 More → 0.723 (#106) AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 55.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.782 (#143) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.789 (#133) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 102 | GP 22 More → 1284 (#30) RD 102 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ Saint Vincent W 60 - 54
2025-11-08 @ Messiah L 81 - 87
2025-11-14 vs Buffalo St. W 84 - 64
2025-11-21 @ Rensselaer W 70 - 58
2025-11-22 @ Rochester (NY) L 58 - 74
2025-12-13 vs Westminster (PA) W 66 - 45
2025-12-14 vs Piedmont W 78 - 65
2025-12-28 @ Cal Lutheran L 57 - 85
2025-12-29 @ La Verne W 66 - 52
2026-01-10 @ SUNY Brockport W 75 - 65
2026-01-16 vs Elmira W 46 - 31
2026-01-17 vs Keuka W 70 - 51
2026-01-23 @ Russell Sage W 80 - 45
2026-01-24 @ Hartwick W 76 - 56
2026-01-28 vs St. John Fisher W 70 - 52
2026-01-30 vs Utica W 53 - 37
2026-01-31 vs SUNY Poly W 66 - 41
2026-02-06 vs SUNY Brockport W 81 - 65
2026-02-07 vs SUNY Geneseo W 68 - 56

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Grace Corelli - 1 32.0 19.0 9.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 21.0 -6 -0.4 -1.7 75.0 71.4 66.7 -1.01 101.9 106.2
Emilia Rojik - 1 27.0 17.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 7.0 15.0 -19 -1.1 -6.8 100.0 100.0 100.0 -0.63 107.9 107.1
Sophie Costello - 1 22.0 14.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 12.0 5.0 52 2.6 9.7 50.0 66.7 0 1.64 58.3 58.3
Bridget Miller - 1 20.0 13.0 7.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 13.0 32 2.3 16.4 50.0 50.0 25.0 3.55 55.3 60.0
Katie MacLachlan - 17 28.2 12.9 7.1 3.3 2.0 0.6 2.2 10.9 12.7 173 9.6 29.2 45.2 32.9 62.5 3.55 54.0 52.4
Molly Benetti - 17 26.8 12.8 6.0 3.5 0.6 2.1 2.6 12.1 10.4 175 9.7 34.2 43.9 11.1 81.8 5.81 48.6 44.4
Kiara Anglin - 17 30.4 9.9 8.3 2.3 3.1 1.1 2.1 7.6 14.9 189 10.5 31.2 47.7 29.8 36.1 3.56 50.4 53.1
Sarina McDowell - 17 24.1 9.3 6.4 1.2 0.6 0.5 1.8 7.5 8.6 136 7.6 26.4 48.4 15.4 78.0 1.3 54.1 49.2
Madalyn Kelly - 13 25.7 9.3 2.5 1.7 0.9 0.3 1.8 9.1 3.8 137 9.8 28.1 40.7 22.9 69.2 3.92 48.9 47.5
Niamh Gendron - 1 23.0 8.0 6.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 10.0 100 5.6 21.3 42.9 50.0 0 4.47 57.1 57.1
Hazell Nickerson - 1 17.0 8.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 8.0 2.0 -39 -2.4 -15.7 37.5 50.0 0 -3.38 50.0 50.0
Claire Groenewoud - 1 19.0 8.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 6.0 3.0 -38 -2.4 -9.7 50.0 0.0 66.7 0.07 54.6 50.0
Tia Poulakidas - 1 13.0 7.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 6.0 -17 -1.2 -5.8 50.0 0 75.0 -0.69 60.8 50.0
Brooke Boyle - 1 18.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 3.0 7.0 6.0 39 1.9 8.9 28.6 0.0 100.0 0.5 38.1 28.6
Siena Smith - 1 22.0 6.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 7.0 6.0 43 2.1 8.3 42.9 0 0 -2.2 42.9 42.9
Molly Libby - 1 21.0 5.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 2.0 -12 -0.6 -4.9 20.0 20.0 0 -2.47 25.0 25.0
Annelise Dexter - 1 14.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 6.0 1.0 -33 -2.1 -10.3 33.3 0.0 50.0 -0.98 36.3 33.3
Macy Bacon - 1 13.0 5.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 4.0 17 1.1 11.4 50.0 100.0 0 4.82 62.5 62.5
Payton Littlefield - 17 13.4 4.8 1.1 0.4 0.7 0.0 1.2 4.8 1.0 39 2.2 14.5 33.3 27.3 69.2 0.89 46.7 44.4
Franki Gomez - 1 27.0 4.0 6.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 7.0 4.0 -19 -1.2 -5.5 28.6 0.0 0 -0.02 28.6 28.6
Tessa Schuey - 17 16.9 3.5 1.6 2.5 1.2 0.1 1.6 4.2 3.2 34 1.9 13.5 28.2 17.6 81.2 -0.24 37.8 32.4
Leah Fusilli - 13 15.6 3.3 3.8 2.6 0.7 0.3 1.7 3.3 5.7 71 4.7 27.4 41.9 40.0 41.7 1.89 44.5 44.2
Morgan Caraballo - 17 11.2 2.6 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.0 1.1 3.0 0.7 23 1.3 10.6 31.4 29.0 50.0 -0.83 41.0 40.2
Megan Heyns - 1 9.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 9 0.5 4.5 25.0 0.0 0 0.13 25.0 25.0
Deniz Alparslan - 1 20.0 2.0 5.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 8.0 25 1.6 10.9 33.3 0 0.0 1.78 25.8 33.3
Peyton Jones - 1 4.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 -17 -1.2 -84.8 0.0 0 100.0 0.67 53.2 0.0
Chianna Williams - 15 9.8 1.9 2.0 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.8 2.5 2.1 49 3.1 31.7 21.1 23.8 70.0 1.75 33.0 27.6
Jordyn Gross - 12 3.4 1.4 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.2 0.8 -16 -1.5 -31.4 57.1 0 50.0 -0.63 57.1 57.1
Megan Tyler - 9 4.2 1.0 0.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.1 1.1 0.8 -18 -2.0 -40.6 20.0 16.7 100.0 -1.75 38.3 25.0
Juliet Schwartz - 1 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 50.0 - 56.8 0
Brayden Schultz - 12 7.8 0.9 2.5 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.7 1.3 2.8 -22 -1.6 -21.2 31.2 33.3 0 -2.02 34.4 34.4
Tyler Hormazabal - 1 18.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 2.0 69 3.5 12.1 0.0 0 0 2.24 0.0 0.0
Sydney Blaney - 1 18.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 -2.0 7 0.4 2.4 0.0 0.0 0 -2.06 0.0 0.0
Danielle Strauf - 1 21.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 -4.0 53 2.8 14.4 0.0 0 0 0.71 0.0 0.0
Zoey Seymour - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 25 2.8 80.6 0 0 0 1.51 0 0
Melis Alparslan - 1 12.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 1.0 -11 -0.7 -4.1 0.0 0.0 0 3.4 0.0 0.0
Allison Dauer - 1 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Ava Sandroni - 1 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG