Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1052 (#175) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1082 (#182) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 998 (#474) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +11.7 (#210) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 1.000 (#40) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.989 (#50) | AdjNet +38.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.992 (#43) | AdjNet +39.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.893 (#104) | AdjO 87.0 | AdjD 63.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.664 (#130) | AdjO 76.4 | AdjD 68.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.824 (#77) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.803 (#80) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1192 (#74) | RD 302 | GP 2 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-12-17 | vs | Washington Col. | W | 91 - 33 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lysander Rehnstrom | - | 1 | 16.0 | 13.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 80.0 | 75.0 | 66.7 | - | 102.8 | 110.0 |
| Kam Summers | - | 1 | 20.0 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 55.6 | 50.0 | 0.0 | - | 68.9 | 72.2 |
| Austin Inge | - | 1 | 19.0 | 10.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 | - | - | - | 55.6 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 55.6 | 55.6 |
| Mitch Fischer | - | 1 | 12.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 92.2 | 100.0 |
| Mike Woods | - | 1 | 11.0 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 33.3 | - | 84.6 | 100.0 |
| Austin Benigni | - | 1 | 16.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 66.7 | 100.0 | - | 68.0 | 60.0 |
| Donovan Draper | - | 1 | 15.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 37.5 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 39.4 | 37.5 |
| Nyles Howard | - | 1 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | -4 | -2.0 | -26.4 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0.54 | 121.5 | 125.0 |
| Carnegie Johnson | - | 1 | 24.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | -7 | -7.0 | -74.0 | 40.0 | 25.0 | 0 | -0.57 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Cam Cole | - | 1 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 41.0 | 25.0 |
| Jack Medalie | - | 1 | 14.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 79.8 | 100.0 |
| Sam Krist | - | 1 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Cam Cormany | - | 1 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 56.8 | 0 |
| Aidan Kehoe | - | 1 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Mac MacDonald | - | 1 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jordan Pennick | - | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG