Navy Midshipmen
2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)
76.3
PPG
79.0
Opp
-2.7
Margin
43.5%
FG%
41.5%
3P%
66.7%
FT%
38.7
RPG
15.3
APG
20.7
TO
79.6
Est. poss./game
72.7
Adj PPG
69.3
Adj Opp PPG
#97
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1146 (#95) | Preseason prior 1178 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1081, returning +154, transfers -58, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1105 (#88) | HCA +169 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1102 (#88) | HCA +169 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +3.3 (#134) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +3.2 (#134) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.625 (#124) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.525 (#150) | AdjNet -6.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.540 (#148) | AdjNet -5.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.639 (#97) | AdjO 72.7 | AdjD 69.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.636 (#98) | AdjO 72.7 | AdjD 69.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.594 (#124) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.593 (#124) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1070 (#114) | RD 178 | GP 3 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.645 (#112) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
Recency Ensemble
Log Adjusted
Elo
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | @ | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | W | 91 - 63 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ | Temple Owls | L | 77 - 97 |
| 2026-11-11 | @ | James Madison Dukes | L | 61 - 77 |
| 2026-11-14 | vs | Air Force Falcons | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-11-16 | vs | Dickinson Red Devils | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-20 | vs | North Carolina A&T Aggies | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Zanai Barnett-Gay
|
G | 2 | 31.0 | 15.5 | 6.0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 4.5 | 12.0 | 9.0 | -9 | 3 | -3.0 | -4.0 | 41.7 | 45.5 | 85.7 | 0.48 | 57.2 | 52.1 |
Zoe Mesuch
|
G | 2 | 29.0 | 11.5 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 11.0 | 6.5 | -11 | 3 | -3.7 | -5.0 | 40.9 | 41.7 | 0 | -0.37 | 52.3 | 52.3 |
Grace Minihane
|
G | 2 | 14.0 | 9.5 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 6 | 3 | 2.0 | 5.8 | 80.0 | 0 | 75.0 | -0.01 | 80.8 | 80.0 |
Mary Gibbons
|
G | 2 | 19.5 | 9.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 6.0 | 7.5 | -8 | 3 | -2.7 | -5.9 | 50.0 | 57.1 | 66.7 | -2.4 | 67.6 | 66.7 |
Isa Grant
|
F | 2 | 15.0 | 8.0 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 6.5 | 7.5 | 6 | 3 | 2.0 | 5.2 | 53.8 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 0.07 | 55.9 | 57.7 |
Lizzie Holder
|
F | 2 | 19.0 | 6.5 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | -9 | 3 | -3.0 | -7.0 | 60.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.53 | 59.7 | 60.0 |
Julianna Almeida
|
G | 2 | 24.5 | 6.0 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | -4 | 3 | -1.3 | -2.4 | 28.6 | 25.0 | 50.0 | 0.42 | 36.1 | 32.1 |
Saran Moschella
|
G | 1 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 1 | 2 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -3.3 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Quinn Boettinger
|
F | 2 | 15.0 | 3.0 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 3.5 | -19 | 3 | -6.3 | -16.2 | 12.5 | 0.0 | 44.4 | -1.94 | 25.1 | 12.5 |
Kelsey Rhyne
|
G | 1 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 12 | 2 | 6.0 | 22.8 | 25.0 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.04 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
Sidney Quinn
|
F | 1 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | 4.5 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 0 | -1.27 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Christina Liggio
|
G | 2 | 14.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | -13 | 3 | -4.3 | -13.8 | 16.7 | 20.0 | 0 | -3.14 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
Nia Henley
|
G | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.88 | 0 | 0 |
Kaitlyn Raagas
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
131 located field-goal attempts in 2 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Zanai Barnett-GayZoe MesuchGrace MinihaneMary GibbonsIsa GrantLizzie HolderJulianna AlmeidaChristina LiggioKelsey Rhyne
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 16-27 | 59.3 | 32 | Isa Grant 25% (8 pts) | Grace Minihane 19% (6 pts) | Zoe Mesuch 27% (3 misses) | Julianna Almeida 18% (2 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 18-39 | 46.2 | 36 | Grace Minihane 22% (8 pts) | Lizzie Holder 17% (6 pts) | Lizzie Holder 19% (4 misses) | Quinn Boettinger 19% (4 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 1-10 | 10.0 | 2 | Julianna Almeida 100% (2 pts) | - | Julianna Almeida 22% (2 misses) | Christina Liggio 11% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 0-2 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Isa Grant 50% (1 misses) | Sidney Quinn 50% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 1-4 | 25.0 | 2 | Grace Minihane 100% (2 pts) | - | Zanai Barnett-Gay 67% (2 misses) | Zoe Mesuch 33% (1 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 2-5 | 40.0 | 6 | Isa Grant 50% (3 pts) | Kelsey Rhyne 50% (3 pts) | Christina Liggio 33% (1 misses) | Zanai Barnett-Gay 33% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 4-5 | 80.0 | 12 | Mary Gibbons 50% (6 pts) | Sidney Quinn 25% (3 pts) | Kelsey Rhyne 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Above-break 3 left | 5-16 | 31.2 | 15 | Mary Gibbons 40% (6 pts) | Julianna Almeida 20% (3 pts) | Christina Liggio 18% (2 misses) | Mary Gibbons 18% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 4-9 | 44.4 | 12 | Zoe Mesuch 75% (9 pts) | Christina Liggio 25% (3 pts) | Zoe Mesuch 40% (2 misses) | Julianna Almeida 20% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 5-14 | 35.7 | 15 | Zanai Barnett-Gay 60% (9 pts) | Zoe Mesuch 40% (6 pts) | Zanai Barnett-Gay 33% (3 misses) | Zoe Mesuch 22% (2 misses) |