NVU-Lyndon Hornets
Model Outputs
2012-2013
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 975 (#506) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 975 (#568) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 997 (#288) | HCA +147 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -19.5 (#906) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -36.5 (#1093) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -24.4 (#566) | HCA +3.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.448 (#436) | AdjO 64.2 | AdjD 66.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.115 (#569) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.161 (#566) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 931 (#304) | RD 350 | GP 1 |
2013 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012-11-27 | @ | NJIT Highlanders | L | 42 - 98 |
2013 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
J. Gray
|
F | 1 | 31.0 | 12.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 22.0 | -54 | -2.2 | -3.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.2 | 0 | 0 |
D. Baranauskas
|
- | 1 | 28.0 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
J. Fortunato
|
G | 1 | 29.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
H. Lyles
|
- | 1 | 26.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
D. Lorden
|
- | 1 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG