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NJIT

Also known as: NJIT Highlanders
Program History

Model Outputs

2015-2016
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1006 (#167) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 999 (#175) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +98 elo More โ†’ 1042 (#109) HCA +98 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ -3.1 (#207) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ -2.6 (#209) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.515 (#170) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -3.7 More โ†’ 0.394 (#197) AdjNet -3.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -3.8 More โ†’ 0.392 (#198) AdjNet -3.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.9 | AdjD 72.5 More โ†’ 0.440 (#202) AdjO 69.9 | AdjD 72.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.1 | AdjD 69.8 More โ†’ 0.483 (#181) AdjO 69.1 | AdjD 69.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.475 (#179) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.483 (#175) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 100 | GP 34 More โ†’ 1020 (#152) RD 100 | GP 34

2016 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2015-11-14 @ Kentucky Wildcats L 57 - 87
2015-11-16 @ South Florida Bulls W 60 - 57
2015-11-19 vs Boston University Terriers W 90 - 76
2015-11-21 vs Lafayette Leopards W 80 - 66
2015-11-23 @ Providence Friars L 76 - 83
2015-11-27 @ UAlbany Great Danes L 73 - 74
2015-11-29 vs Maine Fort Kent Bengals W 89 - 60
2015-12-05 vs UMass Lowell River Hawks W 90 - 77
2015-12-07 vs Kent State Golden Flashes L 75 - 80
2015-12-10 @ St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers W 92 - 86
2015-12-12 @ Columbia Lions L 56 - 65
2015-12-20 @ St. John's Red Storm W 83 - 74
2015-12-28 vs Stony Brook Seawolves L 61 - 83
2015-12-30 @ Saint Francis Red Wolves W 77 - 65
2016-01-02 vs UMBC Retrievers W 86 - 83
2016-01-06 @ Yale Bulldogs L 65 - 83
2016-01-09 vs South Carolina Upstate Spartans L 78 - 80
2016-01-14 @ Florida Gulf Coast Eagles L 78 - 82
2016-01-16 @ Stetson Hatters W 71 - 59
2016-01-21 vs Jacksonville Dolphins W 83 - 63
2016-01-23 vs North Florida Ospreys - Postponed
2016-01-24 vs North Florida Ospreys L 80 - 94
2016-01-27 vs Lipscomb Bisons L 72 - 81
2016-01-30 @ Kennesaw State Owls W 75 - 67
2016-02-01 @ Lipscomb Bisons W 90 - 78
2016-02-06 vs Kennesaw State Owls W 78 - 59
2016-02-11 vs Stetson Hatters W 74 - 70
2016-02-13 vs Florida Gulf Coast Eagles W 68 - 59
2016-02-18 @ North Florida Ospreys L 71 - 107
2016-02-20 @ Jacksonville Dolphins W 73 - 58
2016-02-25 @ South Carolina Upstate Spartans L 71 - 72
2016-03-01 vs Stetson Hatters L 67 - 82
2016-03-16 vs Army Black Knights W 79 - 65
2016-03-21 vs Boston University Terriers W 83 - 72
2016-03-24 vs UT Arlington Mavericks W 63 - 60
2016-03-27 @ Columbia Lions L 65 - 80

2016 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Damon Lynn Damon Lynn G 29 37.8 18.3 3.0 3.3 1.6 0.1 2.0 5.2 19.1 0 24 0.0 0.0 37.7 36.7 83.0 -0.02 154.4 51.0
Tim Coleman Tim Coleman G 29 27.4 13.7 7.8 2.4 1.6 0.8 2.2 3.1 20.9 21 24 0.9 1.4 49.5 48.3 66.7 -0.28 175.0 57.1
Ky Howard Ky Howard G 29 32.3 13.1 4.9 4.8 1.0 0.2 3.3 2.7 17.9 10 24 0.4 0.6 45.5 33.3 83.7 1.12 198.1 49.4
Winfield Willis Winfield Willis G 7 29.0 10.7 3.1 2.9 0.9 0.1 1.7 4.1 11.9 35 7 5.0 7.7 44.8 38.5 92.3 1.47 108.0 53.4
Rob Ukawuba Rob Ukawuba G 27 21.3 8.2 3.1 1.7 0.6 0.2 1.0 2.4 10.4 -2 23 -0.1 -0.2 46.9 44.0 94.7 -1.07 152.7 55.5
Terrence Smith Terrence Smith F 23 20.9 7.3 3.9 0.8 0.4 0.2 1.1 1.5 10.1 58 19 3.1 6.1 61.8 0 46.2 2.29 212.7 61.8
Chris Jenkins Chris Jenkins G 23 17.3 7.0 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.4 2.2 5.9 -101 18 -5.6 -15.0 40.0 38.6 0 -6.17 162.0 57.0
Mohamed Bendary Mohamed Bendary F 28 11.0 2.4 3.1 0.5 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.5 5.4 -15 23 -0.7 -2.6 78.6 0 66.7 -0.48 204.3 78.6
Osa Izevbuwa Osa Izevbuwa G 28 10.2 2.3 1.5 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.4 0.9 3.2 -5 24 -0.2 -0.9 34.6 20.0 66.7 -0.1 117.1 40.4
Vlad Shustov Vlad Shustov F 22 11.6 2.2 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.8 2.9 -31 17 -1.8 -7.4 50.0 50.0 0.0 -1.43 130.2 52.8
Emmanuel Tselentakis Emmanuel Tselentakis G 28 16.2 1.8 3.2 1.5 0.4 0.2 0.6 0.8 5.8 - - - - 22.7 33.3 42.9 - 101.7 31.8
Seth Callahan Seth Callahan - 2 1.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Derek McKnight Derek McKnight - 5 1.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
James McMillon James McMillon - 2 1.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Reilly Walsh Reilly Walsh G 6 3.7 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG