NJIT
Model Outputs
2006-2007
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 632 (#331) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 678 (#330) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 844 (#329) | HCA +118 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -17.9 (#330) | HCA +3.6 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -19.5 (#335) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.081 (#332) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.040 (#329) | AdjNet -27.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.039 (#329) | AdjNet -27.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.177 (#330) | AdjO 54.1 | AdjD 71.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.207 (#336) | AdjO 56.9 | AdjD 71.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.123 (#333) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.127 (#334) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 717 (#323) | RD 152 | GP 29 |
2007 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006-11-11 | @ | Manhattan Jaspers | W | 56 - 55 |
| 2006-11-14 | vs | Rider Broncs | W | 63 - 52 |
| 2006-11-17 | @ | Columbia Lions | L | 60 - 73 |
| 2006-11-18 | @ | Saint Peter's Peacocks | L | 57 - 75 |
| 2006-11-27 | vs | Siena Saints | L | 40 - 64 |
| 2006-11-29 | @ | American University Eagles | L | 50 - 75 |
| 2006-12-01 | vs | Maine Black Bears | L | 58 - 68 |
| 2006-12-04 | vs | Lafayette Leopards | L | 57 - 76 |
| 2006-12-06 | @ | Army Black Knights | L | 40 - 60 |
| 2006-12-11 | vs | Stony Brook Seawolves | L | 61 - 65 |
| 2006-12-21 | @ | St. John's Red Storm | L | 50 - 68 |
| 2006-12-29 | @ | UCF Knights | L | 63 - 75 |
| 2006-12-30 | @ | James Madison Dukes | L | 66 - 70 |
| 2007-01-02 | vs | Navy Midshipmen | L | 50 - 52 |
| 2007-01-07 | @ | Cornell Big Red | L | 58 - 69 |
| 2007-01-10 | vs | Longwood Lancers | W | 59 - 55 |
| 2007-01-13 | @ | Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | L | 65 - 82 |
| 2007-01-16 | @ | La Salle Explorers | L | 59 - 78 |
| 2007-01-23 | @ | Siena Saints | L | 63 - 87 |
| 2007-02-01 | @ | Utah Valley Wolverines | L | 55 - 86 |
| 2007-02-03 | @ | UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | L | 60 - 72 |
| 2007-02-08 | vs | South Dakota State Jackrabbits | W | 67 - 62 |
| 2007-02-10 | vs | North Dakota State Bison | L | 57 - 80 |
| 2007-02-17 | vs | Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | L | 47 - 52 |
| 2007-02-19 | @ | Longwood Lancers | W | 78 - 74 |
| 2007-02-24 | vs | Utah Valley Wolverines | L | 47 - 77 |
| 2007-02-26 | vs | UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | L | 58 - 70 |
| 2007-03-01 | @ | North Dakota State Bison | L | 52 - 104 |
| 2007-03-03 | @ | South Dakota State Jackrabbits | L | 61 - 71 |
2007 Roster
No roster data available for this season.