NJIT Highlanders
Model Outputs
2011-2012
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 797 (#276) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 806 (#291) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 954 (#230) | HCA +78 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -14.0 (#307) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -14.1 (#310) | HCA +2.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.379 (#200) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.067 (#308) | AdjNet -22.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.065 (#308) | AdjNet -23.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.238 (#306) | AdjO 49.8 | AdjD 62.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.348 (#283) | AdjO 48.5 | AdjD 55.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.204 (#298) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.222 (#295) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 840 (#277) | RD 136 | GP 30 |
2012 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011-11-13 | vs | Brown Bears | W | 70 - 66 |
| 2011-11-16 | vs | Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | L | 57 - 68 |
| 2011-11-19 | vs | Wagner Seahawks | W | 68 - 65 |
| 2011-11-23 | @ | Delaware State Hornets | W | 65 - 49 |
| 2011-11-27 | vs | Manhattan Jaspers | L | 66 - 75 |
| 2011-12-03 | vs | Bucknell Bison | W | 54 - 53 |
| 2011-12-07 | @ | Lehigh Mountain Hawks | L | 37 - 61 |
| 2011-12-11 | vs | Rider Broncs | L | 50 - 60 |
| 2011-12-18 | vs | Colgate Raiders | L | 44 - 54 |
| 2011-12-21 | vs | Saint Peter's Peacocks | W | 66 - 59 |
| 2011-12-23 | @ | Minnesota Golden Gophers | L | 47 - 71 |
| 2011-12-29 | @ | Buffalo Bulls | L | 53 - 66 |
| 2011-12-30 | @ | New Hampshire Wildcats | L | 71 - 79 |
| 2012-01-03 | @ | Navy Midshipmen | L | 51 - 67 |
| 2012-01-05 | @ | Howard Bison | L | 31 - 58 |
| 2012-01-11 | @ | Pennsylvania Quakers | W | 52 - 48 |
| 2012-01-14 | @ | Longwood Lancers | L | 71 - 72 |
| 2012-01-19 | @ | Houston Christian Huskies | W | 69 - 52 |
| 2012-01-21 | @ | UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | W | 41 - 40 |
| 2012-01-26 | vs | North Dakota Fighting Hawks | L | 55 - 65 |
| 2012-01-28 | vs | Utah Valley Wolverines | L | 54 - 61 |
| 2012-02-04 | @ | Chicago State Cougars | L | 70 - 86 |
| 2012-02-09 | @ | Utah Valley Wolverines | W | 48 - 46 |
| 2012-02-11 | @ | North Dakota Fighting Hawks | L | 42 - 68 |
| 2012-02-16 | vs | UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | W | 61 - 52 |
| 2012-02-18 | vs | Houston Christian Huskies | W | 88 - 28 |
| 2012-02-26 | vs | Longwood Lancers | L | 66 - 69 |
| 2012-03-03 | vs | Chicago State Cougars | W | 69 - 49 |
| 2012-03-08 | vs | Houston Christian Huskies | T | 0 - 0 |
| 2012-03-09 | @ | Utah Valley Wolverines | T | 0 - 0 |
2012 Roster
No roster data available for this season.