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N.C. Wesleyan

Season:
Also known as: N.C. Wesleyan
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1016 (#212) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 949 (#397) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1012 (#349) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -5.5 (#248) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +5.1 (#275) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.533 (#437) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -1.0 More → 0.462 (#370) NetEff -1.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -8.8 More → 0.266 (#466) AdjNet -8.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -9.0 More → 0.255 (#462) AdjNet -9.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 62.3 | AdjD 68.5 More → 0.361 (#469) AdjO 62.3 | AdjD 68.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 61.0 | AdjD 61.8 More → 0.482 (#412) AdjO 61.0 | AdjD 61.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.503 (#379) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.490 (#397) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD

2026 Schedule & Results

No games found for this season.

2026 Roster

No roster data available for this season.