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Muskingum

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Muskingum
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 926 (#257) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1101 (#123) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 954 (#595) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +0.6 (#116) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -7.3 (#487) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.416 (#227) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -1.1 More → 0.469 (#116) AdjNet -1.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -1.3 More → 0.463 (#118) AdjNet -1.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 75.6 | AdjD 76.3 More → 0.484 (#112) AdjO 75.6 | AdjD 76.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 77.2 | AdjD 80.3 More → 0.431 (#540) AdjO 77.2 | AdjD 80.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.429 (#455) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.417 (#476) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 106 | GP 21 More → 1000 (#365) RD 106 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-11 @ Carnegie Mellon W 75 - 74
2025-11-14 @ Transylvania W 92 - 81
2025-11-15 @ Asbury W 81 - 77
2025-11-20 vs La Roche W 94 - 67
2025-11-22 vs Westminster (PA) W 72 - 64
2025-11-25 vs Earlham W 82 - 72
2025-12-03 @ Capital W 95 - 78
2025-12-06 vs Baldwin Wallace W 80 - 61
2025-12-13 vs Mount Union L 82 - 85
2025-12-16 @ Allegheny W 93 - 82
2025-12-20 @ Heidelberg W 75 - 71
2026-01-02 vs Olivet L 70 - 87
2026-01-03 @ Hope W 98 - 93
2026-01-10 @ Ohio Northern L 65 - 73
2026-01-14 vs Wilmington (OH) W 113 - 90
2026-01-17 vs Otterbein L 62 - 78
2026-01-21 @ Marietta L 86 - 91
2026-01-24 @ Baldwin Wallace - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 vs Heidelberg - Incomplete score
2026-02-04 vs Capital L 79 - 97
2026-02-07 @ Mount Union L 62 - 88
2026-02-11 vs Marietta W 86 - 74
2026-02-14 vs Ohio Northern W 80 - 64
2026-02-18 @ Wilmington (OH) L 69 - 81
2026-02-21 @ Otterbein L 60 - 80
2026-02-24 vs Heidelberg L 67 - 84

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Duane Davis - 25 31.9 18.4 4.2 2.0 2.0 0.5 1.8 13.6 11.6 - - - - 53.7 30.4 61.1 - 57.0 54.7
Owen Emig - 25 29.8 15.8 2.4 1.9 0.6 0.1 2.5 12.2 6.2 - - - - 41.6 39.8 85.9 - 57.7 52.8
J'Allen Barrino - 13 22.6 10.8 5.4 2.6 1.1 0.2 2.1 7.3 10.6 - - - - 61.1 33.3 66.7 - 63.9 62.1
Alieu Ceesay - 21 20.7 7.9 3.1 1.3 0.9 0.3 1.8 5.8 6.0 - - - - 54.9 25.0 86.1 - 60.2 55.3
Phil Towns - 25 16.3 7.4 1.4 2.1 0.7 0.0 1.6 5.9 4.1 - - - - 41.2 36.5 78.4 - 54.3 49.0
Nathan Walker - 25 22.4 6.5 3.7 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.7 5.2 6.2 - - - - 38.0 35.2 73.0 - 55.8 52.3
Roman Crosby - 25 13.5 5.6 2.3 0.8 0.1 0.3 0.9 4.4 3.7 - - - - 44.1 33.3 77.4 - 55.8 51.8
Brett Devault - 25 22.5 5.0 5.8 1.8 1.1 0.8 1.0 3.9 9.6 - - - - 51.0 27.3 66.7 - 56.7 54.1
Terrell Darden - 24 13.1 3.2 3.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.3 2.3 4.5 - - - - 50.0 52.9 100.0 - 67.5 66.1
Rob Oster - 14 6.4 2.8 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.4 1.1 - - - - 35.3 36.0 85.7 - 52.6 48.5
Nemiah Waugh - 4 4.4 2.0 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.5 1.2 - - - - 50.0 100.0 33.3 - 54.6 58.3
Chance Allen - 19 8.3 1.7 2.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.3 1.4 2.9 - - - - 40.7 10.0 55.6 - 47.3 42.6
Logan Stotzer - 18 5.5 1.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 1.8 0.5 - - - - 36.4 23.8 0 - 43.9 43.9
Reed Coconis - 18 7.0 1.2 0.9 0.9 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.1 - - - - 42.9 50.0 62.5 - 59.9 57.1
Skyler Nicholson - 4 1.4 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.8 - - - - 66.7 50.0 0 - 83.3 83.3
Alex Taylor - 6 1.4 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.3 - - - - 33.3 33.3 0 - 50.0 50.0
Tanner Holbert - 15 2.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.1 - - - - 11.1 11.1 50.0 - 20.2 16.7
Konlan Mcintyre - 4 1.4 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.5 -0.5 - - - - 0.0 0.0 33.3 - 15.1 0.0
Dylan Fox - 4 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 -0.2 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG