Murray State
Model Outputs
1998-1999
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1178 (#62) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1203 (#36) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1116 (#31) | HCA +109 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +8.2 (#72) | HCA +3.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +8.0 (#70) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.860 (#14) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.762 (#87) | AdjNet +10.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.764 (#87) | AdjNet +10.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.679 (#57) | AdjO 75.9 | AdjD 67.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.670 (#34) | AdjO 74.4 | AdjD 66.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.718 (#55) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.716 (#51) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1142 (#66) | RD 124 | GP 31 |
1999 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1998-11-14 | vs | Southern Illinois | W | 65 - 62 |
| 1998-11-27 | N | Little Rock | W | 91 - 66 |
| 1998-11-28 | @ | Oklahoma | W | 68 - 64 |
| 1998-12-03 | @ | Morehead State | W | 90 - 59 |
| 1998-12-05 | @ | Eastern Kentucky | W | 108 - 66 |
| 1998-12-12 | @ | Alabama State | W | 68 - 66 |
| 1998-12-19 | vs | Western Kentucky | W | 69 - 57 |
| 1998-12-27 | N | Charlotte | L | 75 - 88 |
| 1998-12-28 | N | Louisiana | W | 81 - 68 |
| 1998-12-29 | N | Florida State | L | 76 - 80 |
| 1999-01-02 | vs | Tennessee Tech | W | 75 - 53 |
| 1999-01-04 | vs | Middle Tennessee | W | 84 - 74 |
| 1999-01-09 | vs | Tennessee–Martin | W | 87 - 58 |
| 1999-01-12 | vs | Morehead State | W | 86 - 82 |
| 1999-01-14 | @ | Southeast Missouri State | W | 71 - 70 |
| 1999-01-16 | @ | Eastern Illinois | W | 86 - 73 |
| 1999-01-21 | vs | Tennessee State | W | 81 - 71 |
| 1999-01-23 | vs | Austin Peay | W | 89 - 58 |
| 1999-01-28 | @ | Tennessee Tech | W | 78 - 62 |
| 1999-01-30 | @ | Middle Tennessee | W | 81 - 62 |
| 1999-02-02 | vs | Eastern Kentucky | W | 81 - 66 |
| 1999-02-06 | @ | Tennessee–Martin | L | 73 - 74 |
| 1999-02-08 | @ | Saint Louis | L | 51 - 62 |
| 1999-02-11 | vs | Southeast Missouri State | W | 62 - 52 |
| 1999-02-13 | vs | Eastern Illinois | W | 94 - 89 |
| 1999-02-18 | @ | Tennessee State | W | 95 - 63 |
| 1999-02-20 | @ | Austin Peay | L | 72 - 80 |
| 1999-02-23 | vs | Tennessee Tech | W | 96 - 61 |
| 1999-02-27 | N | Morehead State | W | 92 - 69 |
| 1999-02-28 | N | Southeast Missouri State | W | 62 - 61 |
| 1999-03-11 | N | Ohio State | L | 58 - 72 |
1999 Roster
No roster data available for this season.