Murray State
Model Outputs
1992-1993
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 982 (#150) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1061 (#112) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1044 (#92) | HCA +108 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -2.1 (#170) | HCA +3.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -3.8 (#187) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.525 (#139) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.417 (#172) | AdjNet -2.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.415 (#172) | AdjNet -3.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.466 (#165) | AdjO 78.6 | AdjD 80.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.481 (#159) | AdjO 77.5 | AdjD 78.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.474 (#153) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.477 (#152) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 995 (#142) | RD 146 | GP 28 |
1993 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1992-11-18 | @ | Indiana | L | 80 - 103 |
| 1992-12-04 | N | Rice | L | 78 - 89 |
| 1992-12-05 | N | Boise State | L | 82 - 94 |
| 1992-12-19 | @ | Evansville | W | 87 - 78 |
| 1992-12-22 | @ | Virginia Commonwealth | L | 77 - 83 |
| 1992-12-28 | @ | Saint Louis | L | 58 - 94 |
| 1992-12-30 | @ | Florida International | W | 68 - 64 |
| 1993-01-04 | @ | Mississippi | W | 75 - 65 |
| 1993-01-09 | @ | Austin Peay | W | 82 - 76 |
| 1993-01-11 | @ | Tennessee State | L | 76 - 80 |
| 1993-01-13 | vs | Tennessee–Martin | W | 92 - 66 |
| 1993-01-16 | @ | Southeast Missouri State | W | 111 - 95 |
| 1993-01-19 | vs | Texas | L | 74 - 79 |
| 1993-01-23 | vs | Eastern Kentucky | W | 93 - 92 |
| 1993-01-25 | vs | Morehead State | W | 89 - 76 |
| 1993-01-30 | vs | Tennessee Tech | W | 117 - 112 |
| 1993-02-01 | vs | Middle Tennessee | W | 76 - 73 |
| 1993-02-06 | vs | Southeast Missouri State | W | 100 - 96 |
| 1993-02-10 | @ | Tennessee–Martin | W | 100 - 74 |
| 1993-02-13 | @ | Eastern Kentucky | L | 82 - 98 |
| 1993-02-15 | @ | Morehead State | L | 78 - 80 |
| 1993-02-20 | vs | Austin Peay | W | 88 - 69 |
| 1993-02-22 | vs | Tennessee State | L | 75 - 82 |
| 1993-02-27 | @ | Tennessee Tech | W | 83 - 81 |
| 1993-03-01 | @ | Middle Tennessee | L | 74 - 79 |
| 1993-03-04 | N | Austin Peay | W | 82 - 66 |
| 1993-03-05 | N | Eastern Kentucky | W | 74 - 73 |
| 1993-03-06 | N | Tennessee State | L | 68 - 82 |
1993 Roster
No roster data available for this season.