Murray State
Model Outputs
1988-1989
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1039 (#110) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1068 (#102) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1029 (#107) | HCA +112 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +2.5 (#112) | HCA +3.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +1.8 (#117) | HCA +3.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.650 (#67) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.600 (#115) | AdjNet +3.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.601 (#116) | AdjNet +3.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.564 (#106) | AdjO 72.2 | AdjD 69.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.556 (#92) | AdjO 73.0 | AdjD 70.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.566 (#107) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.564 (#105) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1018 (#131) | RD 120 | GP 28 |
1989 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1988-11-28 | @ | Lamar | W | 96 - 83 |
| 1988-12-02 | N | Tulsa | W | 86 - 63 |
| 1988-12-03 | @ | Western Kentucky | L | 75 - 79 |
| 1988-12-06 | @ | Louisville | L | 51 - 83 |
| 1988-12-16 | N | Louisiana Tech | L | 69 - 87 |
| 1988-12-17 | N | Florida A&M | W | 62 - 58 |
| 1988-12-19 | @ | Vanderbilt | L | 57 - 74 |
| 1988-12-21 | N | Nicholls State | W | 79 - 65 |
| 1988-12-31 | vs | Evansville | L | 70 - 78 |
| 1989-01-02 | vs | Eastern Illinois | W | 74 - 55 |
| 1989-01-07 | @ | Austin Peay | L | 75 - 84 |
| 1989-01-09 | vs | Lamar | W | 80 - 78 |
| 1989-01-14 | @ | Morehead State | W | 79 - 66 |
| 1989-01-16 | @ | Eastern Kentucky | W | 63 - 40 |
| 1989-01-23 | vs | Tennessee Tech | W | 76 - 67 |
| 1989-01-28 | vs | Tennessee State | W | 87 - 55 |
| 1989-01-30 | vs | Middle Tennessee | W | 71 - 67 |
| 1989-02-04 | vs | Austin Peay | W | 72 - 64 |
| 1989-02-08 | vs | Memphis | L | 62 - 73 |
| 1989-02-11 | @ | Middle Tennessee | L | 84 - 85 |
| 1989-02-13 | @ | Tennessee State | W | 89 - 80 |
| 1989-02-18 | @ | Tennessee Tech | W | 87 - 72 |
| 1989-02-20 | @ | Southern Illinois | L | 71 - 79 |
| 1989-02-25 | vs | Eastern Kentucky | W | 91 - 66 |
| 1989-02-27 | vs | Morehead State | W | 86 - 74 |
| 1989-03-05 | vs | Tennessee State | W | 90 - 71 |
| 1989-03-08 | N | Austin Peay | L | 65 - 74 |
| 1989-03-15 | @ | Penn State | L | 73 - 89 |
1989 Roster
No roster data available for this season.