Mt. Marty
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2017 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 964 (#378) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1022 (#247) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 909 (#607) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +14.4 (#50) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +9.7 (#216) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.475 (#370) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.007 (#641) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.887 (#212) | AdjNet +17.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.066 (#614) | AdjNet -23.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.899 (#212) | AdjNet +18.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.064 (#615) | AdjNet -22.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.743 (#214) | AdjO 69.0 | AdjD 57.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.263 (#582) | AdjO 54.3 | AdjD 65.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.562 (#223) | AdjO 63.8 | AdjD 61.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.654 (#227) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.617 (#252) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 923 (#344) | RD 93 | GP 22 |
2017 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-11-12 | vs | Harding | L | 54 - 62 |
| 2016-11-18 | @ | Quincy | W | 73 - 44 |
| 2016-11-19 | vs | Maryville (MO) | - | Preview |
| 2016-11-23 | vs | Valley City St. | - | Preview |
| 2016-11-26 | @ | Northern St. | W | 51 - 44 |
| 2016-12-02 | vs | Mary | W | 82 - 59 |
| 2016-12-03 | vs | Minot St. | W | 57 - 46 |
| 2016-12-09 | @ | Minn.-Crookston | W | 87 - 60 |
| 2016-12-10 | @ | Bemidji St. | W | 102 - 50 |
| 2016-12-17 | vs | Northern St. | W | 69 - 66 |
| 2016-12-30 | vs | Minnesota St. | W | 66 - 58 |
| 2016-12-31 | vs | Concordia-St. Paul | W | 76 - 63 |
| 2017-01-06 | @ | Minot St. | W | 66 - 52 |
| 2017-01-07 | @ | Mary | W | 73 - 53 |
| 2017-01-13 | @ | Augustana (SD) | W | 65 - 55 |
| 2017-01-14 | @ | Wayne St. (NE) | W | 74 - 64 |
| 2017-01-20 | vs | Minn. Duluth | L | 59 - 71 |
| 2017-01-21 | vs | St. Cloud St. | W | 95 - 69 |
| 2017-01-27 | @ | Southwest Minn. St. | W | 73 - 66 |
| 2017-01-28 | @ | Sioux Falls | L | 61 - 66 |
| 2017-02-03 | vs | Winona St. | W | 70 - 66 |
| 2017-02-04 | vs | Upper Iowa | W | 69 - 66 |
| 2017-02-10 | vs | Bemidji St. | W | 88 - 56 |
| 2017-02-11 | vs | Minn.-Crookston | W | 65 - 55 |
| 2017-02-17 | @ | St. Cloud St. | W | 81 - 77 |
| 2017-02-18 | @ | Minn. Duluth | W | 75 - 58 |
| 2017-02-22 | vs | Southwest Minn. St. | W | 71 - 35 |
| 2017-02-25 | @ | Sioux Falls | L | 45 - 54 |
| 2017-03-10 | vs | Central Mo. | L | 45 - 56 |
2017 Roster
No roster data available for this season.