Mount Union
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1288 (#9) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1373 (#2) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1195 (#16) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +12.4 (#14) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +8.8 (#240) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.805 (#291) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.780 (#241) | AdjNet +11.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.778 (#242) | AdjNet +10.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.683 (#240) | AdjO 80.1 | AdjD 71.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.741 (#69) | AdjO 79.9 | AdjD 68.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.791 (#110) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.791 (#91) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1349 (#7) | RD 115 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Penn St. Harrisburg | W | 86 - 78 |
| 2025-11-09 | @ | Dickinson | W | 74 - 59 |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Muhlenberg | W | 76 - 40 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | CWRU | W | 82 - 72 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Transylvania | W | 88 - 66 |
| 2025-11-23 | @ | Mt. St. Joseph | W | 81 - 57 |
| 2025-11-26 | vs | Wooster | W | 81 - 72 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Otterbein | W | 75 - 63 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Muskingum | W | 85 - 82 |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | Baldwin Wallace | W | 87 - 68 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Ohio Northern | W | 73 - 71 |
| 2025-12-29 | vs | Mount Aloysius | W | 107 - 77 |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Calvin | W | 78 - 72 |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | Marietta | W | 87 - 72 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Wilmington (OH) | W | 84 - 77 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Capital | W | 91 - 78 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Heidelberg | L | 76 - 83 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Ohio Northern | L | 50 - 64 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Marietta | W | 92 - 71 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Otterbein | W | 74 - 69 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Baldwin Wallace | W | 93 - 60 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Muskingum | W | 88 - 62 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Leddo | - | 1 | 25.0 | 23.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 13.0 | 15.0 | -39 | -2.3 | -43.4 | 61.5 | 40.0 | 100.0 | -1.76 | 75.7 | 69.2 |
| Chance Casenhiser | - | 20 | 30.5 | 17.6 | 3.2 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 14.3 | 9.0 | 176 | 9.8 | 40.2 | 45.8 | 38.5 | 83.9 | 2.74 | 56.5 | 53.1 |
| Elijah Farrington | - | 19 | 25.3 | 14.4 | 7.7 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 8.8 | 15.2 | 152 | 8.9 | 40.2 | 53.9 | 36.0 | 80.8 | 2.56 | 64.2 | 56.6 |
| Kevin Hamilton | - | 21 | 30.3 | 12.7 | 2.1 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 2.1 | 10.3 | 7.4 | 125 | 7.4 | 29.6 | 39.2 | 32.2 | 91.9 | 2.31 | 53.3 | 45.6 |
| Kevin Moore | - | 20 | 25.8 | 8.3 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 7.0 | 5.5 | 121 | 6.7 | 35.5 | 42.9 | 37.8 | 81.8 | 1.95 | 55.5 | 52.9 |
| Dante Collier | - | 21 | 15.3 | 7.3 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 5.4 | 4.5 | 84 | 4.7 | 39.2 | 44.2 | 41.0 | 88.0 | 0.63 | 62.1 | 58.4 |
| Antwone George | - | 1 | 26.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 11 | 0.6 | 5.5 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 2.64 | 45.8 | 50.0 |
| Mason Pulliam | - | 1 | 15.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | - | 60.8 | 50.0 |
| Caleb Laurich | - | 20 | 19.6 | 6.2 | 5.6 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 5.0 | 7.7 | 66 | 3.9 | 25.2 | 53.5 | 21.7 | 35.5 | 0.19 | 54.1 | 55.9 |
| Chris Henderson | - | 1 | 22.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 104 | 5.8 | 39.6 | 28.6 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.52 | 38.1 | 28.6 |
| Deshaun Vaden | - | 21 | 15.7 | 5.6 | 4.6 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 3.4 | 1.0 | 3.6 | 10.0 | 95 | 8.6 | 37.2 | 67.1 | 0.0 | 45.5 | 2.67 | 64.6 | 67.1 |
| David Reed IV | - | 1 | 19.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | -29 | -1.6 | -21.3 | 50.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -1.38 | 56.3 | 50.0 |
| Jordan Spencer | - | 1 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 127 | 7.1 | 48.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 3.89 | 72.5 | 0.0 |
| Jack Dunbar | - | 21 | 11.2 | 3.8 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 3.0 | 3.8 | 59 | 3.3 | 39.0 | 50.0 | 38.9 | 66.7 | 2.1 | 61.2 | 60.9 |
| Chris Knight | - | 11 | 4.5 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 12 | 1.1 | 19.2 | 41.9 | 28.6 | 0.0 | 0.23 | 47.7 | 48.4 |
| Cam Weekly | - | 17 | 7.7 | 2.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 7 | 7.0 | 16.6 | 40.0 | 40.9 | 69.2 | 0.33 | 56.5 | 52.9 |
| Jarrett Taylor | - | 15 | 15.7 | 2.5 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 8.1 | 53 | 4.1 | 31.0 | 53.6 | 16.7 | 75.0 | 0.12 | 58.7 | 55.4 |
| Maurice Davis | - | 1 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 42 | 2.1 | 25.6 | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | 2.57 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Anthony Bruce | - | 6 | 3.6 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 0.5 | -18 | -2.0 | -41.5 | 36.4 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.51 | 45.5 | 45.5 |
| Darius Rodriguez | - | 6 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.7 | -13 | -2.2 | -115.6 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.61 | 77.3 | 66.7 |
| Landon Lear | - | 12 | 4.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 15 | 1.4 | 27.2 | 42.9 | 20.0 | 0 | 0.45 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Carson Banks | - | 12 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.4 | -3 | -0.3 | -6.9 | 50.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.07 | 69.4 | 50.0 |
| Zach Davis | - | 7 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | -6 | -0.9 | -25.7 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.23 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Braylon Johnson | - | 4 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -0.2 | -14 | -3.5 | -124.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.07 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ryen Romigh | - | 6 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.7 | -10 | -1.7 | -63.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.35 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Elija Eccleston | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | -8 | -0.5 | -6.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.18 | 0 | 0 |
| Jayson Fain | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 26 | 2.6 | 266.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.38 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Kyle Rhoden | - | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG