Mount Olive
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 866 (#474) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 874 (#457) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 843 (#659) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -14.0 (#269) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -10.5 (#516) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.079 (#549) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.260 (#343) | NetEff -7.7 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.053 (#626) | AdjNet -25.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.051 (#628) | AdjNet -24.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.198 (#618) | AdjO 54.2 | AdjD 69.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.303 (#611) | AdjO 58.0 | AdjD 67.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.197 (#599) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.210 (#597) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 806 (#465) | RD 100 | GP 20 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-17 | @ | Wingate | L | 46 - 77 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Livingstone | W | 66 - 56 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Bluefield Univ. | W | 79 - 42 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Francis Marion | L | 54 - 70 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Emory & Henry | L | 55 - 92 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Ferrum | L | 58 - 59 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | North Greenville | L | 62 - 80 |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | Barton | L | 61 - 79 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Winston-Salem | L | 50 - 86 |
| 2025-12-31 | @ | Elizabeth City St. | W | 68 - 57 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Emmanuel (GA) | W | 72 - 64 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Erskine | W | 104 - 57 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Lees-McRae | L | 67 - 84 |
| 2026-01-19 | vs | Belmont Abbey | L | 60 - 72 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | UNC Pembroke | L | 45 - 65 |
| 2026-01-23 | @ | Southern Wesleyan | W | 77 - 66 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Francis Marion | L | 47 - 69 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Chowan | L | 48 - 66 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Converse | L | 63 - 69 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla Jackson | - | 19 | 33.2 | 11.6 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 10.9 | 5.4 | -91 | -4.5 | -24.1 | 40.6 | 27.9 | 84.2 | -2.26 | 51.1 | 49.3 |
| Jerin Truesdale | - | 19 | 28.0 | 10.6 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 3.1 | 8.8 | 7.7 | -51 | -2.4 | -13.5 | 42.9 | 8.3 | 84.8 | -1.87 | 51.0 | 43.2 |
| Jada Priebe | - | 19 | 30.7 | 10.1 | 7.4 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 9.5 | 9.4 | -82 | -3.7 | -29.7 | 41.7 | 32.7 | 59.5 | 1.87 | 48.1 | 46.1 |
| Aniyah Vanhook | - | 9 | 22.0 | 9.8 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 3.2 | 8.3 | 4.3 | -26 | -2.6 | -44.4 | 44.0 | 35.7 | 77.3 | -0.96 | 52.0 | 47.3 |
| Savannah McAfee | - | 19 | 30.7 | 9.7 | 7.7 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 2.4 | 8.4 | 10.4 | -136 | -6.2 | -39.3 | 43.8 | 30.4 | 70.5 | -1.42 | 51.6 | 48.1 |
| Jayla Hicks | - | 18 | 30.9 | 7.8 | 3.0 | 3.1 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 4.2 | 9.9 | 2.1 | -75 | -4.2 | -41.4 | 29.6 | 26.0 | 60.0 | -0.85 | 36.0 | 33.2 |
| Ashley Browne | - | 6 | 18.8 | 4.2 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 4.3 | 1.8 | - | - | - | 42.3 | 0.0 | 42.9 | - | 43.0 | 42.3 |
| Kayana Cloud | - | 10 | 9.8 | 3.0 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 3.0 | 3.7 | 11 | 1.1 | 32.8 | 30.0 | 0 | 52.2 | 0.12 | 37.4 | 30.0 |
| Destiny Thompson | - | 11 | 13.5 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 3.8 | 2.0 | -16 | -1.3 | -8.9 | 28.6 | 31.6 | 75.0 | 1.36 | 37.7 | 35.7 |
| Emily Wiebelhaus | - | 15 | 15.7 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 3.1 | 0.5 | -59 | -3.7 | -52.5 | 34.0 | 12.5 | 50.0 | 0.16 | 37.6 | 35.1 |
| Chloe Kester | - | 12 | 7.4 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 2.4 | 1.0 | -9 | -0.8 | -7.5 | 37.9 | 16.7 | 50.0 | -1.93 | 42.3 | 41.4 |
| Alondra Arroyo | - | 6 | 7.6 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.7 | -14 | -2.0 | -24.9 | 8.3 | 0 | 50.0 | -1.3 | 11.6 | 8.3 |
| Janna Tupuola | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Maddison Mangalao | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Lily Ervin | - | 4 | 3.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.0 | -0.2 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG