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Mount Ida College Mustangs

Season: 2013 2012 2011 2009
Also known as: Mount Ida College Mustangs
Program History

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 869 (#970) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 907 (#925) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 998 (#212) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → -12.6 (#784) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -5.9 (#402) HCA +3.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.2 | AdjD 65.9 More → 0.484 (#281) AdjO 65.2 | AdjD 65.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.342 (#401) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.374 (#387) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 939 (#283) RD 350 | GP 1

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-11 @ Stony Brook Seawolves L 57 - 93

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
A. Kelly A. Kelly - 1 27.0 14.0 2.0 2.0 5.0 0.0 8.0 0.0 15.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.43 0 0
J. Fortes J. Fortes - 1 35.0 11.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 17.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.51 0 0
J. McNair J. McNair - 1 31.0 9.0 5.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 16.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.53 0 0
C. Walker C. Walker - 1 17.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 -51 -1.5 -2.2 0 0 0 -0.06 0 0
B. Heimann B. Heimann - 1 17.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG