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Mount Aloysius

Season:
Also known as: Mount Aloysius
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1032 (#245) -
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 745 (#637) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1057 (#234) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 725 (#629) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 792 (#759) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -24.8 (#393) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -29.8 (#756) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.996 (#136) -
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.185 (#680) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +24.5 More → 0.944 (#146) AdjNet +24.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -27.7 More → 0.039 (#716) AdjNet -27.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +24.0 More → 0.946 (#149) AdjNet +24.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -27.9 More → 0.037 (#716) AdjNet -27.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 83.0 | AdjD 65.6 More → 0.830 (#160) AdjO 83.0 | AdjD 65.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.0 | AdjD 91.1 More → 0.119 (#728) AdjO 69.0 | AdjD 91.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.2 | AdjD 87.5 More → 0.147 (#766) AdjO 68.2 | AdjD 87.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.085 (#757) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.090 (#761) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 114 | GP 21 More → 637 (#633) RD 114 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

No games found for this season.

2026 Roster

No roster data available for this season.