🐻⬇️🏀

Morris

Also known as: Morris
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 904 (#437) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 986 (#367) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -21.9 (#309) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -10.8 (#465) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.007 (#662) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -41.0 More → 0.008 (#746) AdjNet -41.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -40.5 More → 0.008 (#744) AdjNet -40.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.3 | AdjD 104.6 More → 0.039 (#754) AdjO 69.3 | AdjD 104.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.5 | AdjD 77.5 More → 0.456 (#386) AdjO 75.5 | AdjD 77.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.320 (#445) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.344 (#434) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 880 (#383) RD 350 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-22 @ Johnson C. Smith L 80 - 97

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Kashannon Strobert - 1 28.3 18.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 16.0 6.0 - - - 43.8 33.3 75.0 - 50.7 46.9
Tourran Warner - 1 33.8 16.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 10.0 7.0 - - - 70.0 66.7 0 - 80.0 80.0
Da'Shawn Smith - 1 24.1 15.0 11.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 8.0 18.0 55 3.1 13.3 75.0 0 37.5 1.42 65.1 75.0
Jayden Bolden - 1 13.1 7.0 8.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 12.0 - - - 75.0 0 50.0 - 71.7 75.0
Khail Baker - 1 15.4 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 -62 -3.1 -17.0 20.0 25.0 25.0 -0.14 29.6 30.0
Tyler Dubose - 1 9.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Kentrell Suggs - 1 19.9 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 -1.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Maurion Gordon - 1 5.7 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 - - - 0.0 0 50.0 - 26.6 0.0
Desmond Glover - 1 2.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Marquez Terry - 1 20.7 0.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 -4.0 127 5.5 22.8 0.0 0.0 0 2.43 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG