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Morgan State

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Morgan State Lady Bears
Program History
Coach: Nadine Domond

2027 Team Stats (2 games)

70.5
PPG
65.0
Opp
+5.5
Margin
36.5%
FG%
25.5%
3P%
44.4%
FT%
43.0
RPG
13.5
APG
16.0
TO
83.4
Est. poss./game
51.5
Adj PPG
61.3
Adj Opp PPG
#302
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 705 (returning production + recruiting): last season 836, returning -83, transfers -49, freshmen +0 More → 704 (#338) Preseason prior 705 (returning production + recruiting): last season 836, returning -83, transfers -49, freshmen +0
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 769 (#336) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +241 elo More → 885 (#296) HCA +241 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +13.6 More → -17.4 (#302) HCA +13.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.024 (#302) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -59.5 More → 0.043 (#286) NetEff -59.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -24.8 More → 0.041 (#302) AdjNet -24.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -25.1 More → 0.038 (#302) AdjNet -25.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 51.5 | AdjD 61.3 More → 0.199 (#302) AdjO 51.5 | AdjD 61.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 51.4 | AdjD 61.0 More → 0.260 (#301) AdjO 51.4 | AdjD 61.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.156 (#302) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.166 (#302) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 218 | GP 1 More → 758 (#298) RD 218 | GP 1

2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 vs Washington Adventist Shock W 103 - 47
2026-11-04 @ Colorado Buffaloes L 38 - 83
2026-11-06 @ Oklahoma State Cowgirls - Preview
2026-11-08 @ Oklahoma Sooners - Preview
2026-11-13 @ UMBC Retrievers - Preview

2027 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Mihjae Hayes Mihjae Hayes PG 2 26.5 8.5 2.0 4.5 4.0 0.0 1.0 7.5 10.5 - - - - 40.0 0.0 100.0 - 49.4 40.0
Dru Carlton Dru Carlton G 2 11.5 7.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 1.0 - - - - 31.2 33.3 0 - 43.8 43.8
Merit Innocent Merit Innocent C 2 20.5 7.0 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 5.5 5.5 - - - - 63.6 0 0 - 63.6 63.6
Simran Williams Simran Williams G 2 13.0 7.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 2.0 4.5 3.0 - - - - 55.6 50.0 50.0 - 60.1 61.1
Jahzara Leamon Jahzara Leamon G 2 14.5 6.0 4.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 5.5 5.5 - - - - 54.5 0 0 - 54.5 54.5
Dakota Alston Dakota Alston G 1 11.0 6.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 4.0 - - - - 40.0 50.0 0 - 60.0 60.0
Shani Clark Shani Clark G 2 14.0 5.5 3.0 0.5 0.0 1.5 1.5 6.0 3.0 - - - - 33.3 25.0 50.0 - 40.0 37.5
Ja'naya Meyers Ja'naya Meyers G 2 12.5 5.5 4.5 0.5 1.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 4.5 - - - - 41.7 50.0 0 - 45.8 45.8
Alexiz Graise Alexiz Graise G 2 11.0 5.0 1.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 6.5 1.0 - - - - 30.8 20.0 50.0 - 36.0 34.6
Mercy Lasu Mercy Lasu F 2 15.0 4.5 4.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.5 5.5 4.5 - - - - 36.4 0.0 25.0 - 35.3 36.4
Kamari Forrest Kamari Forrest G 2 17.0 4.0 4.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 5.5 3.0 - - - - 36.4 0 0.0 - 29.3 36.4
Chardae Rumph Chardae Rumph G 2 19.5 3.5 1.0 2.5 1.5 0.0 2.5 5.0 1.0 - - - - 30.0 50.0 0 - 35.0 35.0
Yonta Vaughn Yonta Vaughn G 2 9.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 1.5 - - - - 16.7 20.0 0 - 25.0 25.0
Kenya Ramsey Kenya Ramsey G 2 10.0 1.0 1.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 5.5 -3.0 - - - - 9.1 0.0 0 - 9.1 9.1
Kazahria Johnson Kazahria Johnson F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

159 located field-goal attempts in 2 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Hayes29% Meyers19% Graise100% Graise50% Graise25% Carlton50% Carlton100% Vaughn50% Meyers100% Rumph33%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Hayes36% Meyers17% Graise12% Forrest38% Graise20% Ramsey50% Ramsey50% Vaughn27% Lasu43% Carlton50%
Misses: who misses most here

Dru CarltonMihjae HayesJa'naya MeyersAlexiz GraiseKamari ForrestMercy LasuChardae RumphYonta VaughnKenya Ramsey

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 17-31 54.8 34 Mihjae Hayes 29% (10 pts) Merit Innocent 24% (8 pts) Mihjae Hayes 36% (5 misses) Merit Innocent 21% (3 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 21-44 47.7 42 Ja'naya Meyers 19% (8 pts) Jahzara Leamon 14% (6 pts) Ja'naya Meyers 17% (4 misses) Shani Clark 13% (3 misses)
Mid-range left 1-9 11.1 2 Alexiz Graise 100% (2 pts) - Alexiz Graise 12% (1 misses) Chardae Rumph 12% (1 misses)
Mid-range center 2-10 20.0 4 Alexiz Graise 50% (2 pts) Mercy Lasu 50% (2 pts) Kamari Forrest 38% (3 misses) Chardae Rumph 25% (2 misses)
Mid-range right 4-14 28.6 8 Alexiz Graise 25% (2 pts) Kenya Ramsey 25% (2 pts) Alexiz Graise 20% (2 misses) Kamari Forrest 20% (2 misses)
Left corner 3 4-6 66.7 12 Dru Carlton 50% (6 pts) Dakota Alston 25% (3 pts) Kenya Ramsey 50% (1 misses) Shani Clark 50% (1 misses)
Right corner 3 1-3 33.3 3 Dru Carlton 100% (3 pts) - Kenya Ramsey 50% (1 misses) Yonta Vaughn 50% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left 4-19 21.1 12 Yonta Vaughn 50% (6 pts) Alexiz Graise 25% (3 pts) Yonta Vaughn 27% (4 misses) Alexiz Graise 13% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 center 1-8 12.5 3 Ja'naya Meyers 100% (3 pts) - Mercy Lasu 43% (3 misses) Yonta Vaughn 29% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 right 3-15 20.0 9 Chardae Rumph 33% (3 pts) Dakota Alston 33% (3 pts) Dru Carlton 50% (6 misses) Alexiz Graise 8% (1 misses)