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Morgan State

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Morgan State Bears
Program History
Coach: Todd Bozeman

2019 Team Stats (5 games)

71.6
PPG
84.0
Opp
-12.4
Margin
38.0%
FG%
35.6%
3P%
72.9%
FT%
33.6
RPG
14.2
APG
13.4
TO
-
Est. poss./game
66.7
Adj PPG
79.3
Adj Opp PPG
#333
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2018-2019
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt. More → Data withheld: source-integrity hold Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt.
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 726 (#334) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +83 elo More → 864 (#339) HCA +83 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -13.8 (#336) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More → -15.4 (#343) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.303 (#282) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -19.3 More → 0.098 (#334) AdjNet -19.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -19.5 More → 0.095 (#334) AdjNet -19.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.7 | AdjD 79.3 More → 0.240 (#333) AdjO 66.7 | AdjD 79.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 76.9 More → 0.321 (#329) AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 76.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.164 (#339) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.175 (#338) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 142 | GP 28 More → 640 (#345) RD 142 | GP 28

2019 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2018-11-06 @ Villanova Wildcats L 77 - 100
2018-11-09 @ Saint Francis Red Wolves L 60 - 80
2018-11-12 @ DePaul Blue Demons L 63 - 91
2018-11-15 vs Lincoln (PA) Lions - Postponed
2018-11-20 vs Navy Midshipmen W 75 - 51
2018-11-25 vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers W 78 - 68
2018-11-28 @ George Mason Patriots L 75 - 82
2018-12-03 @ Virginia Cavaliers L 45 - 83
2018-12-05 vs Binghamton Bearcats W 74 - 68
2018-12-08 @ Towson Tigers W 74 - 69
2018-12-17 vs Wilmington (DE) Wildcats W 85 - 78
2018-12-22 @ Old Dominion Monarchs L 53 - 76
2018-12-29 @ Cal State Northridge Matadors L 86 - 94
2019-01-03 vs Lincoln (PA) Lions L 75 - 77
2019-01-05 vs Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks W 66 - 53
2019-01-07 vs Savannah State Tigers L 87 - 88
2019-01-12 vs South Carolina State Bulldogs L 68 - 72
2019-01-15 @ Howard Bison W 89 - 86
2019-01-19 @ North Carolina A&T Aggies L 53 - 57
2019-01-21 @ North Carolina Central Eagles L 64 - 92
2019-01-26 vs Bethune-Cookman Wildcats W 77 - 71
2019-01-28 vs Florida A&M Rattlers L 66 - 72
2019-02-02 @ Coppin State Eagles L 71 - 73
2019-02-09 @ South Carolina State Bulldogs L 81 - 85
2019-02-11 @ Savannah State Tigers L 85 - 88
2019-02-23 vs Norfolk State Spartans L 74 - 75
2019-02-25 vs Howard Bison L 69 - 75
2019-03-02 @ Delaware State Hornets W 76 - 58
2019-03-04 @ Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks L 73 - 78
2019-03-07 vs Coppin State Eagles L 69 - 83
2019-03-12 @ Coppin State Eagles L 71 - 81

2019 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
S. Devonish S. Devonish G 5 26.6 10.6 2.6 2.4 1.6 0.0 1.6 9.2 6.4 -81 18 -4.5 -7.0 34.8 30.0 81.8 -1.84 47.6 38.0
Stanley Davis Stanley Davis G 5 21.2 9.4 4.0 2.2 1.0 0.2 1.8 9.6 5.4 -124 17 -7.3 -11.7 41.7 0.0 100.0 -4.58 46.0 41.7
Isaiah Burke Isaiah Burke - 18 19.8 9.3 1.3 0.6 1.0 0.1 1.4 3.5 7.3 -29 11 -2.6 -6.2 41.3 43.3 63.2 -1.89 117.0 51.6
Myles Thompson Myles Thompson - 1 25.0 8.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
David Syfax David Syfax F 5 22.8 7.4 4.0 0.8 1.0 0.0 1.8 8.0 3.4 -66 18 -3.7 -7.8 30.0 36.4 75.0 -3.39 40.9 35.0
Martez Cameron Martez Cameron G 5 28.6 7.0 1.8 4.0 1.6 0.0 1.8 6.4 6.2 -80 18 -4.4 -6.0 40.6 40.0 62.5 -0.13 49.3 46.9
Kyson Rawls Kyson Rawls G 5 19.6 6.4 1.2 1.8 1.2 0.0 1.4 5.8 3.4 -69 18 -3.8 -8.6 34.5 31.6 66.7 -3.41 48.5 44.8
Tyler Streeter Tyler Streeter G 5 12.2 6.0 1.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.4 5.2 2.8 -2 17 -0.1 -0.7 46.2 80.0 66.7 -1.1 54.9 53.8
Mia Miller Mia Miller - 28 15.6 5.6 3.7 0.9 1.0 0.3 1.5 1.9 8.1 30 16 1.9 5.9 40.7 0.0 70.0 2.0 116.1 40.7
Victor Curry Victor Curry F 5 16.6 5.4 5.2 0.4 1.2 0.6 0.4 4.6 7.8 38 16 2.4 11.1 34.8 0 84.6 3.46 47.0 34.8
Antonio Gillespie Antonio Gillespie G 4 13.5 5.0 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.2 4.5 1.5 -32 16 -2.0 -6.4 38.9 42.9 0 -1.99 55.6 55.6
Jordan Little Jordan Little F 4 11.0 2.8 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.0 2.5 1.0 -41 16 -2.6 -10.2 50.0 0 50.0 -2.0 50.6 50.0
Lapri McCray-Pace Lapri McCray-Pace G 4 9.5 2.2 2.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.2 2.8 2.8 -2 17 -0.1 -0.5 36.4 0.0 50.0 -1.48 37.9 36.4
Ranell Bell Ranell Bell - 2 2.5 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Taron Oliver Taron Oliver F 1 8.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG