Morgan State
Model Outputs
1993-1994
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 675 (#279) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 774 (#266) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 933 (#228) | HCA +119 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -13.7 (#278) | HCA +3.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -12.8 (#277) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.223 (#255) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.091 (#282) | AdjNet -20.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.088 (#282) | AdjNet -20.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.239 (#278) | AdjO 67.2 | AdjD 79.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.325 (#264) | AdjO 68.8 | AdjD 76.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.210 (#276) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.224 (#272) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 796 (#260) | RD 135 | GP 28 |
1994 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1993-11-27 | @ | Loyola (IL) | L | 76 - 78 |
| 1993-12-04 | @ | Maryland | L | 62 - 85 |
| 1993-12-10 | @ | Georgetown | L | 39 - 81 |
| 1993-12-18 | @ | Long Island University | W | 75 - 70 |
| 1993-12-20 | @ | Florida State | L | 67 - 90 |
| 1993-12-29 | vs | Loyola (IL) | L | 70 - 74 |
| 1993-12-30 | @ | New Mexico State | L | 56 - 97 |
| 1994-01-02 | @ | George Mason | W | 85 - 82 |
| 1994-01-08 | vs | South Carolina State | L | 59 - 73 |
| 1994-01-10 | vs | North Carolina A&T | L | 86 - 92 |
| 1994-01-15 | @ | Maryland–Eastern Shore | L | 71 - 83 |
| 1994-01-17 | @ | Delaware State | W | 74 - 63 |
| 1994-01-20 | @ | Florida A&M | L | 71 - 73 |
| 1994-01-22 | @ | Bethune-Cookman | L | 85 - 88 |
| 1994-01-27 | vs | Coppin State | L | 63 - 81 |
| 1994-01-29 | vs | Maryland–Eastern Shore | L | 77 - 82 |
| 1994-01-31 | vs | Howard | L | 72 - 86 |
| 1994-02-02 | @ | James Madison | L | 78 - 80 |
| 1994-02-07 | @ | Coppin State | L | 52 - 82 |
| 1994-02-10 | vs | Florida A&M | L | 77 - 82 |
| 1994-02-12 | vs | Bethune-Cookman | W | 90 - 80 |
| 1994-02-14 | vs | Delaware State | L | 83 - 86 |
| 1994-02-26 | @ | South Carolina State | W | 80 - 79 |
| 1994-02-28 | @ | North Carolina A&T | L | 76 - 87 |
| 1994-03-05 | @ | Howard | W | 75 - 73 |
| 1994-03-08 | vs | Florida A&M | W | 70 - 66 |
| 1994-03-09 | vs | Coppin State | W | 61 - 60 |
| 1994-03-10 | vs | South Carolina State | L | 63 - 69 |
1994 Roster
No roster data available for this season.