Morgan State
Model Outputs
1991-1992
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 661 (#276) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 701 (#283) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 918 (#231) | HCA +115 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -29.2 (#296) | HCA +4.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -23.9 (#294) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.060 (#293) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.013 (#295) | AdjNet -37.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.014 (#295) | AdjNet -36.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.079 (#296) | AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 92.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.213 (#291) | AdjO 69.8 | AdjD 84.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.088 (#294) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.108 (#293) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 735 (#276) | RD 156 | GP 29 |
1992 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1991-11-22 | @ | Loyola Marymount | L | 110 - 140 |
| 1991-11-23 | N | Central Connecticut State | L | 71 - 87 |
| 1991-11-25 | @ | California | L | 50 - 97 |
| 1991-11-30 | vs | Radford | L | 60 - 95 |
| 1991-12-03 | @ | Brooklyn | L | 66 - 80 |
| 1991-12-06 | @ | Missouri State | L | 51 - 97 |
| 1991-12-07 | N | Centenary (LA) | L | 91 - 124 |
| 1991-12-14 | @ | Loyola (IL) | L | 55 - 105 |
| 1991-12-21 | @ | Oklahoma | L | 81 - 144 |
| 1992-01-04 | vs | South Carolina State | W | 90 - 86 |
| 1992-01-06 | vs | North Carolina A&T | L | 67 - 98 |
| 1992-01-11 | @ | Penn State | L | 51 - 102 |
| 1992-01-13 | @ | Delaware State | L | 81 - 99 |
| 1992-01-16 | @ | Florida A&M | L | 67 - 98 |
| 1992-01-18 | @ | Bethune-Cookman | W | 92 - 68 |
| 1992-01-20 | @ | College of Charleston | L | 50 - 92 |
| 1992-01-23 | vs | Coppin State | L | 82 - 96 |
| 1992-01-25 | @ | Maryland–Eastern Shore | L | 62 - 74 |
| 1992-01-27 | vs | Howard | L | 63 - 78 |
| 1992-02-03 | @ | Coppin State | L | 62 - 70 |
| 1992-02-06 | vs | Florida A&M | L | 78 - 96 |
| 1992-02-08 | vs | Bethune-Cookman | W | 92 - 85 |
| 1992-02-10 | vs | Delaware State | W | 80 - 78 |
| 1992-02-15 | @ | South Carolina State | L | 68 - 98 |
| 1992-02-17 | @ | North Carolina A&T | L | 95 - 107 |
| 1992-02-22 | @ | Howard | L | 64 - 82 |
| 1992-02-29 | vs | Maryland–Eastern Shore | W | 98 - 76 |
| 1992-03-05 | N | North Carolina A&T | W | 75 - 70 |
| 1992-03-06 | N | Florida A&M | L | 69 - 74 |
1992 Roster
No roster data available for this season.