🐻⬇️🏀

Morgan State

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Morgan State Bears
Program History
Coach: Todd Bozeman

2014 Team Stats (7 games)

70.7
PPG
77.0
Opp
-6.3
Margin
44.0%
FG%
24.3%
3P%
66.0%
FT%
36.3
RPG
12.1
APG
13.7
TO
-
Est. poss./game
69.2
Adj PPG
73.2
Adj Opp PPG
#235
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2013-2014
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1008 (#169) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 927 (#233) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +92 elo More → 1033 (#124) HCA +92 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -4.5 (#237) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -3.0 (#217) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.469 (#193) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -6.9 More → 0.312 (#238) AdjNet -6.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -7.0 More → 0.309 (#239) AdjNet -7.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 73.2 More → 0.409 (#235) AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 73.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.3 | AdjD 69.2 More → 0.502 (#173) AdjO 69.3 | AdjD 69.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.425 (#212) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.443 (#199) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 127 | GP 31 More → 938 (#224) RD 127 | GP 31

2014 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2013-11-09 @ Ohio State Buckeyes L 50 - 89
2013-11-12 @ Towson Tigers L 75 - 95
2013-11-14 vs San Diego Toreros L 61 - 68
2013-11-20 vs Ohio Bobcats L 62 - 65
2013-11-22 @ La Salle Explorers L 59 - 78
2013-11-23 vs Vanderbilt Commodores L 66 - 75
2013-11-25 vs Marist Red Foxes W 74 - 67
2013-11-29 @ Maryland Terrapins L 62 - 89
2013-12-07 vs Howard Bison W 87 - 58
2013-12-18 vs High Point Panthers W 85 - 74
2013-12-27 @ Cal State Northridge Matadors L 80 - 86
2013-12-29 @ Oregon Ducks L 76 - 97
2014-01-02 @ UC Irvine Anteaters L 63 - 75
2014-01-11 vs South Carolina State Bulldogs W 73 - 56
2014-01-18 @ Norfolk State Spartans W 87 - 70
2014-01-20 @ Hampton Pirates W 80 - 71
2014-01-25 @ North Carolina A&T Aggies L 67 - 68
2014-01-27 @ North Carolina Central Eagles L 52 - 53
2014-02-01 vs Delaware State Hornets W 77 - 64
2014-02-03 vs Hampton Pirates W 94 - 92
2014-02-08 vs Norfolk State Spartans L 53 - 64
2014-02-10 @ Coppin State Eagles W 82 - 77
2014-02-17 @ Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks W 88 - 72
2014-02-19 vs Coppin State Eagles W 78 - 69
2014-02-24 @ Delaware State Hornets L 56 - 59
2014-03-01 vs Bethune-Cookman Wildcats W 65 - 61
2014-03-03 vs Florida A&M Rattlers L 73 - 78
2014-03-06 @ Howard Bison W 68 - 66
2014-03-13 vs Florida A&M Rattlers W 81 - 68
2014-03-14 vs Coppin State Eagles W 79 - 64
2014-03-15 @ North Carolina Central Eagles L 62 - 71

2014 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Justin Black Justin Black G 30 33.7 18.9 5.0 2.9 1.9 0.1 3.1 4.5 21.2 -40 18 -2.2 -3.3 44.4 28.6 62.2 -0.1 169.5 50.4
Ian Chiles Ian Chiles C 30 28.1 15.3 6.5 0.8 0.5 2.8 1.6 3.7 20.6 37 17 2.2 3.4 58.9 0 73.9 6.39 173.9 58.9
Anthony Hubbard Anthony Hubbard G 30 28.4 11.0 6.9 2.1 0.7 0.2 1.8 2.5 16.6 -26 18 -1.4 -2.4 52.6 27.8 66.7 0.79 187.2 55.9
Blake Bozeman Blake Bozeman G 30 31.1 6.6 1.9 2.0 0.5 0.0 1.4 2.7 7.0 -89 18 -4.9 -8.0 22.5 17.9 55.6 -5.39 118.5 28.7
Cedric Blossom Cedric Blossom F 30 22.9 6.6 5.2 0.7 0.4 0.2 1.0 1.7 10.5 -63 17 -3.7 -7.6 49.0 0.0 66.7 -3.62 158.2 49.0
Shaquille Duncan Shaquille Duncan F 29 15.3 4.7 3.1 0.6 0.3 1.0 1.0 1.0 7.5 -33 17 -1.9 -7.4 33.3 0 66.7 -2.56 178.0 33.3
Donte Pretlow Donte Pretlow G 30 23.1 3.6 2.7 2.4 1.4 0.0 1.1 1.5 7.5 -32 18 -1.8 -3.6 24.4 8.3 60.0 -2.59 108.3 25.6
Thair Heath Thair Heath F 20 6.3 1.8 1.3 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.2 3.5 23 12 1.9 13.4 80.0 0 0.0 2.48 205.4 80.0
Torin Childs-Harris Torin Childs-Harris G 12 6.2 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.7 0.7 1.2 4 5 0.8 7.5 25.0 16.7 50.0 -0.05 107.0 31.2
Rasean Simpson Rasean Simpson G 21 4.9 1.4 0.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 2.0 9 12 0.8 6.1 36.4 28.6 0 1.52 136.4 45.5
Kyle Thomas Kyle Thomas F 20 4.5 1.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.6 12 11 1.1 9.9 36.4 50.0 0 0.7 127.3 54.5
Willis Turnipseed Willis Turnipseed F 6 1.3 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 1.0 - - - - 100.0 0 0 0.11 300.0 100.0
Emmanuel Matey Emmanuel Matey G 25 7.2 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.9 0.2 1.2 2 13 0.2 0.7 16.7 33.3 57.1 0.0 115.6 25.0
Hassante Manning Hassante Manning F 12 4.8 0.4 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 1.5 -25 8 -3.1 -24.2 50.0 0 0 -4.15 125.0 50.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG