🐻⬇️🏀

Morgan St.

Season: 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2015 2014
Also known as: Morgan St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026 latest available
Catalog

No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 979 (#359) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1010 (#367) HCA +62 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +5.3 (#271) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.777 (#321) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -21.8 More → 0.060 (#512) NetEff -21.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +36.3 More → 0.986 (#126) AdjNet +36.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +36.5 More → 0.987 (#127) AdjNet +36.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.5 | AdjD 51.1 More → 0.854 (#146) AdjO 70.5 | AdjD 51.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 61.0 | AdjD 59.8 More → 0.528 (#334) AdjO 61.0 | AdjD 59.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.579 (#308) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.565 (#326) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 1038 (#266) RD 350 | GP 1

2024 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2023-11-16 vs Notre Dame (MD) W 75 - 32

2024 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
AMARI SMITH - 1 19.0 14.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 10.0 9.0 15 1.7 2.9 50.0 40.0 100.0 -0.0 64.3 60.0
ANYSSIA GIBBS - 1 23.0 11.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 9.0 - - - 50.0 50.0 100.0 - 79.9 75.0
SEDAYJHA PAYNE - 1 13.0 8.0 5.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 8.0 - - - 66.7 0 0 - 66.7 66.7
GABRIELLE JOHNSON - 1 19.0 8.0 0.0 6.0 5.0 1.0 3.0 4.0 13.0 - - - 75.0 0.0 100.0 - 82.0 75.0
KAIA PONDER - 1 17.0 8.0 6.0 4.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 5.0 18.0 - - - 80.0 0 0 - 80.0 80.0
TAMARIA RUMPH - 1 14.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 5.0 0.0 - - - 40.0 50.0 33.3 - 47.5 50.0
NAKILAH JOHNSON - 1 8.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 3.0 -2 -0.2 -0.2 40.0 0.0 100.0 0.27 51.0 40.0
JOELLE JOHNSON - 1 27.0 4.0 6.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 5.0 8 0.8 1.0 33.3 0 0 0.14 33.3 33.3
DAKOTA ALSTON - 1 14.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 3.0 - - - 40.0 0.0 0 - 40.0 40.0
EMILY JONES - 1 17.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 2.0 - - - 20.0 0.0 100.0 -0.54 34.0 20.0
BROOKLYN JONES - 1 18.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 2.0 29 2.2 7.3 16.7 0.0 0 0.26 16.7 16.7
JAEL BUTLER - 1 11.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
LAILA FAIR - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG