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Morehead State

Also known as: Morehead State Eagles
Program History

2017 Team Stats (1 games)

56.0
PPG
90.0
Opp
-34.0
Margin
36.9%
FG%
40.0%
3P%
None%
FT%
34.0
RPG
14.0
APG
12.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
73.4
Adj PPG
75.5
Adj Opp PPG
#199
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2016-2017
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 914 (#212) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 950 (#213) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +89 elo More โ†’ 987 (#189) HCA +89 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ -2.2 (#199) HCA +2.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ -3.0 (#211) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.435 (#205) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -4.1 More โ†’ 0.383 (#205) AdjNet -4.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -4.2 More โ†’ 0.382 (#205) AdjNet -4.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.4 | AdjD 75.5 More โ†’ 0.454 (#199) AdjO 73.4 | AdjD 75.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.3 | AdjD 74.0 More โ†’ 0.461 (#205) AdjO 72.3 | AdjD 74.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.430 (#208) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.432 (#206) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 155 | GP 28 More โ†’ 937 (#215) RD 155 | GP 28

2017 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2016-11-11 vs Kentucky Christian Knights W 106 - 41
2016-11-13 vs Lipscomb Bisons W 89 - 75
2016-11-16 @ Marshall Thundering Herd L 77 - 85
2016-11-19 @ Evansville Purple Aces L 56 - 69
2016-11-25 @ Pittsburgh Panthers L 63 - 76
2016-11-30 vs Northern Kentucky Norse L 79 - 84
2016-12-03 @ Purdue Boilermakers L 56 - 90
2016-12-10 @ Lipscomb Bisons L 84 - 98
2016-12-13 @ Eastern Washington Eagles L 86 - 88
2016-12-17 vs East Tennessee State Buccaneers L 68 - 78
2016-12-19 vs Central Arkansas Bears W 111 - 85
2016-12-22 @ Mississippi State Bulldogs L 76 - 85
2016-12-28 vs Asbury Eagles W 120 - 77
2016-12-31 @ UT Martin Skyhawks L 77 - 81
2017-01-05 vs Eastern Illinois Panthers W 85 - 75
2017-01-07 vs SIU Edwardsville Cougars W 73 - 65
2017-01-12 vs Belmont Bruins L 78 - 84
2017-01-14 vs Tennessee State Tigers W 87 - 85
2017-01-19 @ Austin Peay Governors W 89 - 82
2017-01-21 vs Eastern Kentucky Colonels W 80 - 54
2017-01-26 @ Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles L 73 - 76
2017-01-28 @ Jacksonville State Gamecocks W 72 - 69
2017-02-04 @ Southeast Missouri State Redhawks W 89 - 81
2017-02-08 vs Murray State Racers W 101 - 100
2017-02-11 @ Eastern Kentucky Colonels W 67 - 62
2017-02-16 @ Tennessee State Tigers L 52 - 64
2017-02-18 @ Belmont Bruins L 73 - 89
2017-02-23 vs Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles W 73 - 68
2017-02-25 vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks L 61 - 70
2017-03-02 vs Murray State Racers L 69 - 75

2017 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Xavier Moon Xavier Moon - 14 34.1 15.9 3.1 4.5 1.0 0.3 1.9 1.1 21.6 21 24 0.9 1.0 31.2 20.0 100.0 1.7 595.5 34.4
DeJuan Marrero DeJuan Marrero F 14 27.6 11.5 8.4 1.2 0.8 0.5 2.6 1.7 18.0 -1 24 0.0 -0.1 45.8 0 71.4 0.11 297.3 45.8
Miguel Dicent Miguel Dicent G 14 29.4 10.6 2.5 3.3 1.2 0.3 1.6 1.1 15.2 -8 24 -0.3 -0.4 43.8 33.3 66.7 0.96 430.1 50.0
Lamontray Harris Lamontray Harris F 14 17.9 8.6 5.9 1.4 0.4 0.7 1.9 0.9 14.2 33 24 1.4 3.1 50.0 50.0 0 1.79 504.2 54.2
Malik Maitland Malik Maitland G 7 30.1 8.4 2.0 4.6 1.9 0.0 2.6 2.1 12.1 -28 6 -4.7 -7.5 20.0 20.0 33.3 -1.52 180.8 23.3
Treshaad Williams Treshaad Williams F 14 19.1 7.1 4.4 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.9 0.2 11.1 -35 24 -1.5 -2.9 33.3 0 0 -3.03 1650.0 33.3
Jordan Walker Jordan Walker G 14 16.7 6.6 1.5 1.4 0.7 0.1 0.7 0.7 8.9 0 24 0.0 0.0 50.0 42.9 0.0 -2.2 445.4 65.0
Soufiyane Diakite Soufiyane Diakite F 5 8.0 5.8 2.0 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.8 6.2 - - - - 77.8 100.0 75.0 -0.3 134.8 94.4
Ty'Quan Bitting Ty'Quan Bitting F 13 9.8 5.1 2.1 0.4 0.2 0.6 1.3 0.5 6.6 -8 20 -0.4 -1.5 66.7 0 50.0 -1.89 479.7 66.7
Ronnye Beamon Ronnye Beamon F 14 19.9 4.6 3.4 1.1 0.4 0.1 1.1 0.5 8.1 -20 24 -0.8 -1.5 71.4 0.0 50.0 -1.23 365.3 71.4
Djimon Henson Djimon Henson G 10 9.4 3.7 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.9 4.8 -2 16 -0.1 -0.7 22.2 16.7 100.0 -1.41 196.0 27.8
Wes Noble Wes Noble - 4 3.0 1.2 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.8 0.0 1.8 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Alonzo Chatman Alonzo Chatman C 2 10.5 1.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 7.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Keion Alexander Keion Alexander F 6 6.2 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.3 0.2 1.2 -6 6 -1.0 -18.2 0.0 0 0 -1.66 200.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG