Morehead State
Model Outputs
1999-2000
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 742 (#272) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 817 (#271) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 887 (#282) | HCA +114 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -5.5 (#218) | HCA +3.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -4.5 (#211) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.334 (#229) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.265 (#222) | AdjNet -8.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.264 (#222) | AdjNet -8.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.385 (#221) | AdjO 70.3 | AdjD 75.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.420 (#223) | AdjO 70.9 | AdjD 74.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.308 (#248) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.315 (#250) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 798 (#273) | RD 174 | GP 24 |
2000 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1999-11-19 | @ | Saint Francis (PA) | L | 71 - 90 |
| 1999-11-27 | @ | Minnesota | L | 67 - 86 |
| 1999-12-04 | vs | Eastern Kentucky | L | 72 - 73 |
| 1999-12-07 | vs | Wright State | W | 74 - 72 |
| 1999-12-18 | @ | Georgia Tech | L | 75 - 81 |
| 1999-12-20 | @ | Jacksonville State | W | 66 - 59 |
| 1999-12-30 | @ | East Tennessee State | L | 77 - 84 |
| 2000-01-06 | vs | Tennessee Tech | W | 88 - 76 |
| 2000-01-08 | vs | Middle Tennessee | L | 73 - 77 |
| 2000-01-13 | @ | Tennessee State | W | 71 - 51 |
| 2000-01-15 | @ | Austin Peay | L | 66 - 77 |
| 2000-01-18 | @ | Eastern Kentucky | W | 79 - 76 |
| 2000-01-20 | vs | Tennessee–Martin | L | 62 - 79 |
| 2000-01-22 | vs | Murray State | L | 86 - 87 |
| 2000-01-27 | @ | Southeast Missouri State | L | 59 - 80 |
| 2000-01-29 | @ | Eastern Illinois | L | 69 - 82 |
| 2000-02-03 | @ | Tennessee Tech | L | 83 - 90 |
| 2000-02-05 | @ | Middle Tennessee | L | 67 - 69 |
| 2000-02-10 | vs | Tennessee State | W | 104 - 73 |
| 2000-02-12 | vs | Austin Peay | L | 83 - 95 |
| 2000-02-17 | @ | Tennessee–Martin | L | 68 - 69 |
| 2000-02-19 | @ | Murray State | L | 65 - 80 |
| 2000-02-24 | vs | Southeast Missouri State | L | 58 - 74 |
| 2000-02-26 | vs | Eastern Illinois | L | 92 - 105 |
2000 Roster
No roster data available for this season.