Morehead State
Model Outputs
1994-1995
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 893 (#193) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 981 (#164) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 988 (#158) | HCA +101 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -4.0 (#183) | HCA +3.5 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -5.1 (#198) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.484 (#157) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.328 (#187) | AdjNet -6.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.324 (#188) | AdjNet -6.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.424 (#179) | AdjO 70.0 | AdjD 73.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.446 (#188) | AdjO 69.9 | AdjD 72.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.398 (#183) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.403 (#186) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 946 (#182) | RD 159 | GP 25 |
1995 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994-12-02 | @ | Nebraska | L | 55 - 96 |
| 1994-12-03 | N | Southern Mississippi | W | 86 - 77 |
| 1994-12-07 | @ | Tennessee | L | 52 - 70 |
| 1994-12-09 | @ | Indiana | L | 62 - 79 |
| 1994-12-10 | N | Coastal Carolina | W | 89 - 63 |
| 1994-12-19 | vs | Kent State | W | 83 - 74 |
| 1994-12-23 | @ | Northern Illinois | L | 69 - 86 |
| 1995-01-04 | @ | Eastern Kentucky | W | 76 - 66 |
| 1995-01-07 | @ | Murray State | L | 66 - 70 |
| 1995-01-09 | @ | Southeast Missouri State | W | 74 - 72 |
| 1995-01-14 | vs | Austin Peay | W | 95 - 80 |
| 1995-01-16 | vs | Tennessee State | L | 66 - 77 |
| 1995-01-21 | @ | Tennessee Tech | W | 78 - 54 |
| 1995-01-23 | @ | Middle Tennessee | W | 87 - 74 |
| 1995-01-26 | vs | Tennessee–Martin | W | 78 - 70 |
| 1995-01-30 | vs | Eastern Kentucky | L | 65 - 75 |
| 1995-02-04 | vs | Southeast Missouri State | W | 80 - 49 |
| 1995-02-06 | vs | Murray State | W | 80 - 74 |
| 1995-02-11 | @ | Tennessee State | L | 71 - 82 |
| 1995-02-13 | @ | Austin Peay | L | 72 - 76 |
| 1995-02-16 | @ | Cincinnati | L | 59 - 91 |
| 1995-02-20 | @ | Tennessee–Martin | L | 64 - 71 |
| 1995-02-25 | vs | Middle Tennessee | W | 65 - 61 |
| 1995-02-27 | vs | Tennessee Tech | W | 88 - 72 |
| 1995-03-01 | N | Eastern Kentucky | L | 74 - 85 |
1995 Roster
No roster data available for this season.