Morehead St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2019 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1030 (#172) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1126 (#107) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 978 (#521) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +4.8 (#140) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +3.3 (#315) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.833 (#280) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.775 (#324) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.806 (#270) | AdjNet +12.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.537 (#372) | AdjNet +1.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.808 (#267) | AdjNet +12.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.524 (#373) | AdjNet +0.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.708 (#233) | AdjO 82.6 | AdjD 72.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.503 (#371) | AdjO 63.0 | AdjD 62.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.627 (#202) | AdjO 67.1 | AdjD 61.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.651 (#260) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.641 (#268) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1011 (#285) | RD 93 | GP 25 |
2019 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-11-12 | vs | Hunter | - | Preview |
| 2018-11-17 | vs | St. Lawrence | - | Preview |
| 2018-11-18 | vs | Drew | W | 75 - 60 |
| 2018-11-20 | vs | Wm. Paterson | - | Preview |
| 2018-11-26 | vs | Stevens | - | Preview |
| 2018-11-28 | vs | Ramapo | - | Preview |
| 2018-12-01 | @ | Kean | - | Preview |
| 2018-12-05 | vs | New Jersey City | - | Preview |
| 2018-12-08 | @ | TCNJ | - | Preview |
| 2018-12-12 | vs | Rutgers-Newark | W | 56 - 52 |
| 2018-12-14 | @ | Brooklyn | W | 67 - 50 |
| 2018-12-19 | vs | Wis. Lutheran | L | 47 - 58 |
| 2018-12-20 | vs | Albright | L | 45 - 57 |
| 2019-01-05 | @ | Rowan | W | 72 - 61 |
| 2019-01-09 | @ | Rutgers-Camden | L | 45 - 57 |
| 2019-01-12 | vs | Stockton | - | Preview |
| 2019-01-16 | @ | Wm. Paterson | L | 62 - 75 |
| 2019-01-23 | @ | Ramapo | W | 60 - 54 |
| 2019-01-26 | vs | TCNJ | - | Preview |
| 2019-01-28 | vs | Kean | - | Preview |
| 2019-01-30 | @ | New Jersey City | - | Preview |
| 2019-02-02 | vs | Rowan | - | Preview |
| 2019-02-06 | @ | Rutgers-Newark | W | 46 - 37 |
| 2019-02-09 | @ | Stockton | - | Preview |
| 2019-02-13 | vs | Rutgers-Camden | - | Preview |
| 2019-02-16 | vs | Kean | - | Preview |
2019 Roster
No roster data available for this season.