Morehead St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2017 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1030 (#172) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1126 (#107) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 978 (#521) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +4.8 (#140) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +3.3 (#315) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.833 (#280) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.775 (#324) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.806 (#270) | AdjNet +12.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.537 (#372) | AdjNet +1.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.808 (#267) | AdjNet +12.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.524 (#373) | AdjNet +0.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.708 (#233) | AdjO 82.6 | AdjD 72.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.503 (#371) | AdjO 63.0 | AdjD 62.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.627 (#202) | AdjO 67.1 | AdjD 61.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.651 (#260) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.641 (#268) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1011 (#285) | RD 93 | GP 25 |
2017 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-11-15 | vs | Haverford | W | 56 - 43 |
| 2016-11-19 | @ | Williams | W | 61 - 46 |
| 2016-11-20 | @ | Hamilton | W | 65 - 32 |
| 2016-11-22 | @ | Kean | W | 62 - 53 |
| 2016-11-28 | vs | Stevens | W | 68 - 48 |
| 2016-11-30 | vs | Ramapo | W | 57 - 46 |
| 2016-12-03 | @ | Rutgers-Newark | W | 62 - 49 |
| 2016-12-07 | vs | Wm. Paterson | W | 81 - 61 |
| 2016-12-10 | @ | Rowan | W | 67 - 57 |
| 2016-12-20 | vs | St. Mary's (IN) | W | 81 - 31 |
| 2016-12-21 | vs | Regis (MA) | W | 70 - 28 |
| 2017-01-02 | vs | Cortland | W | 66 - 49 |
| 2017-01-04 | vs | New Jersey City | W | 77 - 63 |
| 2017-01-11 | vs | Rutgers-Camden | W | 69 - 64 |
| 2017-01-14 | @ | TCNJ | L | 40 - 49 |
| 2017-01-18 | vs | Kean | W | 75 - 58 |
| 2017-01-21 | vs | Rutgers-Newark | W | 69 - 56 |
| 2017-01-25 | @ | Ramapo | W | 69 - 38 |
| 2017-01-28 | vs | Rowan | W | 68 - 62 |
| 2017-01-30 | @ | Stockton | L | 65 - 68 |
| 2017-02-01 | @ | Wm. Paterson | W | 73 - 52 |
| 2017-02-04 | vs | Stockton | W | 79 - 53 |
| 2017-02-08 | @ | New Jersey City | W | 87 - 36 |
| 2017-02-11 | vs | TCNJ | W | 56 - 47 |
| 2017-02-15 | @ | Rutgers-Camden | W | 76 - 72 |
| 2017-02-22 | vs | Rowan | W | 76 - 67 |
| 2017-02-25 | vs | Rutgers-Newark | W | 71 - 61 |
| 2017-03-03 | vs | Westfield St. | W | 81 - 73 |
| 2017-03-04 | vs | UMass Dartmouth | L | 63 - 71 |
2017 Roster
No roster data available for this season.