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Moravian

Season:
Also known as: Moravian Greyhounds
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1100 (#103) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1158 (#65) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1040 (#209) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -1.5 (#137) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -2.4 (#382) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.622 (#384) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -3.4 More → 0.403 (#399) AdjNet -3.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -3.7 More → 0.393 (#399) AdjNet -3.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 79.8 | AdjD 81.5 More → 0.462 (#381) AdjO 79.8 | AdjD 81.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 82.6 | AdjD 80.9 More → 0.537 (#326) AdjO 82.6 | AdjD 80.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.507 (#389) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.519 (#386) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 96 | GP 21 More → 1124 (#137) RD 96 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

No games found for this season.

2026 Roster

No roster data available for this season.