Montreat
Also known as: Montreat
Program History
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1078 (#121) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +12.9 (#191) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.723 (#334) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.374 (#410) | AdjNet -4.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.370 (#408) | AdjNet -4.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.427 (#407) | AdjO 71.4 | AdjD 74.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.708 (#101) | AdjO 81.9 | AdjD 72.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.654 (#254) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.659 (#250) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1140 (#116) | RD 217 | GP 1 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-05 | @ | JWU Charlotte | W | 93 - 78 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zeke Bullington | - | 1 | 27.0 | 20.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 18.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 75.0 | 83.3 | - | 85.9 | 83.3 |
| Trevor Brunson | - | 1 | 27.0 | 20.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 18.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 75.0 | 83.3 | - | 85.9 | 83.3 |
| Justin Skelton | - | 1 | 20.0 | 18.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 13.0 | - | - | - | 45.5 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 62.0 | 45.5 |
| Jarden Maze | - | 1 | 20.0 | 18.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 13.0 | - | - | - | 45.5 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 62.0 | 45.5 |
| Jaydin Spillman-Martin | - | 1 | 20.0 | 15.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 62.5 | 62.5 | 0 | - | 93.8 | 93.8 |
| Josh Dorsey | - | 1 | 20.0 | 15.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 62.5 | 62.5 | 0 | - | 93.8 | 93.8 |
| Elijah Carson | - | 1 | 21.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 44.4 | 75.0 | 0 | - | 61.1 | 61.1 |
| Chris Moore | - | 1 | 26.0 | 11.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 10.0 | 17 | 1.5 | 34.1 | 36.4 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 0.38 | 43.1 | 36.4 |
| RJ Manginello | - | 1 | 14.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Dyllan Barnwell | - | 1 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| Gannon Stockton | - | 1 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Conner Barfield | - | 1 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Trevor Pittman | - | 1 | 20.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.55 | 56.8 | 0 |
| Devin Dean | - | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jeremyah McWilliams | - | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Aris Joyner | - | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Braxton Murray | - | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | 20 | 2.0 | 104.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.07 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Dillon Harris | - | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -34 | -3.1 | -10.2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.68 | 0.0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG