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Montreat College Cavaliers

Also known as: Montreat College Cavaliers
Program History

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 882 (#696) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 860 (#716) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 993 (#407) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → -23.2 (#836) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → -29.8 (#629) HCA +2.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.9 | AdjD 71.9 More → 0.410 (#555) AdjO 67.9 | AdjD 71.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.137 (#595) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.183 (#589) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 874 (#533) RD 350 | GP 1

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-12-16 @ Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles L 60 - 117

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
T. Rodrigue T. Rodrigue - 1 25.0 13.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 12.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
M. Flenory M. Flenory - 1 26.0 12.0 6.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 19.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J. Davis J. Davis - 1 29.0 11.0 7.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 18.0 88 1.5 3.6 0 0 0 1.12 0 0
E. Idlett E. Idlett - 1 30.0 8.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 10.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
C.J. Gettelfinger C.J. Gettelfinger G 1 13.0 7.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 11.0 8 0.9 7.7 0 0 0 0.2 0 0
N. Dunn N. Dunn - 1 27.0 7.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 6.0 0.0 6.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
A. Tchatchouang A. Tchatchouang - 1 23.0 7.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 11.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
C. Christopher C. Christopher G 1 8.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 6 0.8 7.7 0 0 0 0.15 0 0
J. Stayton J. Stayton F 1 4.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J. Steele J. Steele - 1 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J. Wright J. Wright G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 225 7.8 12.8 - - - 1.83 - -
C. Sias C. Sias - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Ja'len Roberson Ja'len Roberson G 1 12.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 79 3.0 4.7 0 0 0 -0.05 0 0
D. Culbreath D. Culbreath G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
D. Grooms D. Grooms - 1 3.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J. Abee J. Abee - 1 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 -1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
N. Bridges N. Bridges - 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
S. Brown S. Brown - 1 10.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -77 -12.8 -49.1 0 0 0 -0.08 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG