Montreat College Cavaliers
Model Outputs
2021-2022
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 882 (#696) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 860 (#716) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 993 (#407) | HCA +115 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -23.2 (#836) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -29.8 (#629) | HCA +2.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.410 (#555) | AdjO 67.9 | AdjD 71.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.137 (#595) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.183 (#589) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 874 (#533) | RD 350 | GP 1 |
2022 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-12-16 | @ | Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles | L | 60 - 117 |
2022 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
T. Rodrigue
|
- | 1 | 25.0 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
M. Flenory
|
- | 1 | 26.0 | 12.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 19.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
J. Davis
|
- | 1 | 29.0 | 11.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 18.0 | 88 | 1.5 | 3.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.12 | 0 | 0 |
E. Idlett
|
- | 1 | 30.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
C.J. Gettelfinger
|
G | 1 | 13.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 8 | 0.9 | 7.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
N. Dunn
|
- | 1 | 27.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
A. Tchatchouang
|
- | 1 | 23.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
C. Christopher
|
G | 1 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 6 | 0.8 | 7.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.15 | 0 | 0 |
J. Stayton
|
F | 1 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
J. Steele
|
- | 1 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
J. Wright
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | 225 | 7.8 | 12.8 | - | - | - | 1.83 | - | - |
C. Sias
|
- | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Ja'len Roberson
|
G | 1 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 79 | 3.0 | 4.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.05 | 0 | 0 |
D. Culbreath
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
D. Grooms
|
- | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
J. Abee
|
- | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
N. Bridges
|
- | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
S. Brown
|
- | 1 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -77 | -12.8 | -49.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.08 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG