Mont. St. Billings
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1007 (#259) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1044 (#205) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1052 (#136) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +6.6 (#111) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +9.0 (#227) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.844 (#216) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.532 (#270) | NetEff +1.0 |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.007 (#459) | NetEff -36.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.946 (#158) | AdjNet +24.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.950 (#158) | AdjNet +25.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.810 (#159) | AdjO 71.6 | AdjD 55.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.662 (#109) | AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 58.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.731 (#150) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.726 (#153) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1086 (#154) | RD 95 | GP 26 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | vs | Mary | L | 71 - 81 |
| 2025-11-08 | vs | CSU Pueblo | W | 64 - 63 |
| 2025-11-09 | vs | Colo. Sch. of Mines | W | 61 - 50 |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Vanguard | L | 54 - 65 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Westmont | L | 38 - 63 |
| 2025-11-16 | vs | Minot St. | W | 67 - 59 |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | Minot St. | L | 70 - 77 |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Jamestown | W | 72 - 56 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Adams St. | L | 52 - 67 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Rocky Mountain | W | 73 - 45 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Western Wash. | L | 56 - 59 |
| 2025-12-05 | vs | Simon Fraser | L | 61 - 76 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Lethbridge (CAN) | W | 89 - 42 |
| 2025-12-15 | @ | Rocky Mountain | W | 60 - 41 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Tampa | W | 60 - 53 |
| 2025-12-21 | vs | Daemen | W | 63 - 55 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Seattle Pacific | W | 58 - 45 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Saint Martin's | L | 57 - 63 |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | Northwest Nazarene | W | 73 - 72 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Central Wash. | L | 57 - 91 |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | Alas. Fairbanks | W | 86 - 45 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Alas. Anchorage | W | 92 - 91 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Seattle Pacific | W | 74 - 39 |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Saint Martin's | L | 47 - 68 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Western Ore. | W | 85 - 48 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taya Trottier | - | 1 | 27.0 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 10.0 | -76 | -3.2 | -14.7 | 60.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -1.22 | 78.1 | 75.0 |
| Cassie Chesnut | - | 24 | 24.8 | 12.3 | 8.5 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 11.7 | 10.4 | 59 | 2.4 | 8.6 | 38.2 | 34.0 | 72.1 | 1.08 | 47.6 | 43.9 |
| Becky Melcher | - | 1 | 23.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 14.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 37.5 | 0 | - | 39.3 | 39.3 |
| Maddie Williamson | - | 1 | 23.0 | 11.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | - | - | - | 62.5 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 61.9 | 62.5 |
| Kyla Momberg | - | 24 | 29.5 | 10.8 | 3.4 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 9.7 | 6.5 | 35 | 1.4 | 3.8 | 41.6 | 23.8 | 78.5 | -1.34 | 49.7 | 44.8 |
| Canzas HisBadHorse | - | 1 | 26.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 37.5 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 51.2 | 37.5 |
| Tailey Harris | - | 24 | 26.4 | 9.2 | 3.1 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 9.5 | 5.5 | 37 | 1.5 | 4.7 | 33.6 | 30.7 | 64.1 | 1.98 | 44.9 | 42.8 |
| Kaitlin Grossman | - | 23 | 27.1 | 8.0 | 7.2 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 9.0 | 7.0 | 29 | 1.2 | 3.3 | 36.2 | 31.0 | 77.4 | 0.09 | 41.5 | 38.4 |
| Allison Kunze | - | 24 | 15.8 | 7.6 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 5.0 | 5.5 | 92 | 3.7 | 18.5 | 58.7 | 0.0 | 63.1 | 2.15 | 61.2 | 58.7 |
| Rae Smart | - | 24 | 26.2 | 7.2 | 5.0 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 6.5 | 7.6 | 63 | 2.5 | 8.7 | 42.0 | 36.4 | 70.7 | 1.41 | 49.4 | 45.9 |
| Lauren Gunn | - | 1 | 34.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 25.0 | 100.0 | - | 39.4 | 31.2 |
| Ciera Agasiva | - | 1 | 29.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 0.0 | 75.0 | - | 40.0 | 28.6 |
| Brooklyn Brennan | - | 1 | 28.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 83 | 3.5 | 13.3 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 50.0 | 1.93 | 61.5 | 62.5 |
| Brooklynn Brennan | - | 23 | 21.5 | 3.6 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 4.4 | 3.7 | 83 | 3.5 | 13.3 | 28.7 | 16.7 | 86.4 | 1.93 | 37.5 | 31.7 |
| Katelyn Hamilton | - | 21 | 7.8 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 62 | 2.8 | 28.7 | 38.2 | 34.7 | 0 | -0.52 | 53.6 | 53.6 |
| Avery Burkhart | - | 10 | 5.3 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 21 | 1.9 | 48.0 | 64.7 | 0 | 25.0 | 0.56 | 61.3 | 64.7 |
| Lynnea Moran | - | 1 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Addie Kiefer | - | 1 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Alli Ligocki | - | 23 | 11.2 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 2.9 | 49 | 2.0 | 18.3 | 27.3 | 28.6 | 71.4 | 1.03 | 39.9 | 34.1 |
| Lauren Kuhbacher | - | 20 | 7.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 39 | 1.9 | 16.6 | 17.6 | 22.2 | 83.3 | -0.06 | 33.1 | 23.5 |
| Camryn Koester | - | 6 | 3.6 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 14 | 2.3 | 47.3 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0.62 | 82.0 | 75.0 |
| Kaylie Neary | - | 5 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 0.0 | -1 | -0.2 | -3.1 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.23 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Indie Browning | - | 9 | 6.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.6 | -0.8 | 19 | 2.1 | 19.0 | 7.1 | 12.5 | 33.3 | 0.21 | 13.1 | 10.7 |
| Shelbi LaBrie | - | 7 | 3.7 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6 | -0.4 | 10 | 1.4 | 648.6 | 9.1 | 12.5 | 0 | 0.49 | 13.6 | 13.6 |
| L'Tia Lawrence | - | 1 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Madi King | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG