Monmouth
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2016 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 848 (#457) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 825 (#523) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 892 (#617) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -22.6 (#369) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -22.2 (#625) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.048 (#667) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.016 (#649) | AdjNet -35.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.015 (#648) | AdjNet -35.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.114 (#644) | AdjO 52.6 | AdjD 75.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.189 (#671) | AdjO 54.9 | AdjD 70.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.100 (#662) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.111 (#662) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 833 (#468) | RD 100 | GP 22 |
2016 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-11-15 | vs | Millikin | L | 63 - 76 |
| 2015-11-20 | @ | Hope | L | 41 - 83 |
| 2015-11-21 | vs | Ohio Wesleyan | W | 75 - 70 |
| 2015-11-24 | vs | Grinnell | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-28 | vs | St. Norbert | - | Preview |
| 2015-12-02 | @ | Knox | L | 111 - 116 |
| 2015-12-05 | vs | Carroll (WI) | L | 57 - 75 |
| 2015-12-07 | vs | Augustana (IL) | - | Preview |
| 2015-12-19 | @ | Beloit | L | 68 - 91 |
| 2015-12-29 | @ | Wis.-Platteville | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-02 | @ | Lake Forest | L | 64 - 69 |
| 2016-01-06 | vs | Illinois Col. | L | 56 - 77 |
| 2016-01-09 | @ | Lawrence | W | 68 - 49 |
| 2016-01-12 | vs | Cornell College | L | 53 - 59 |
| 2016-01-16 | @ | Ripon | W | 72 - 68 |
| 2016-01-23 | @ | St. Norbert | L | 40 - 83 |
| 2016-01-26 | vs | Knox | W | 77 - 60 |
| 2016-01-30 | vs | Lake Forest | L | 67 - 70 |
| 2016-02-03 | @ | Grinnell | L | 58 - 73 |
| 2016-02-09 | @ | Cornell College | L | 51 - 76 |
| 2016-02-13 | vs | Beloit | L | 87 - 93 |
| 2016-02-17 | @ | Illinois Col. | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-20 | vs | Lawrence | W | 77 - 66 |
2016 Roster
No roster data available for this season.