🐻⬇️🏀

Monmouth

Season: 2026 2024
Also known as: Monmouth
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1045 (#146) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1098 (#105) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 1016 (#268) HCA +75 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +16.4 (#130) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.999 (#50) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +47.9 More → 0.999 (#46) NetEff +47.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +32.3 More → 0.977 (#108) AdjNet +32.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +31.7 More → 0.979 (#108) AdjNet +31.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.2 | AdjD 53.1 More → 0.871 (#108) AdjO 74.2 | AdjD 53.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.5 | AdjD 58.1 More → 0.721 (#73) AdjO 68.5 | AdjD 58.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.851 (#58) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.826 (#69) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 270 | GP 1 More → 1066 (#181) RD 270 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Chestnut Hill - Incomplete score
2025-12-29 vs Georgian Court - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

No roster data available for this season.