🐻⬇️🏀

Monmouth

Season: 2026
Also known as: Monmouth
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1019 (#204) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1064 (#149) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 998 (#298) HCA +95 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +17.5 (#77) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.981 (#79) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +22.3 More → 0.930 (#97) AdjNet +22.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +22.0 More → 0.930 (#96) AdjNet +22.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 89.6 | AdjD 71.4 More → 0.840 (#84) AdjO 89.6 | AdjD 71.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 79.4 | AdjD 74.2 More → 0.616 (#128) AdjO 79.4 | AdjD 74.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.777 (#83) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.740 (#98) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 1080 (#146) RD 350 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-04 vs Caldwell - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

No roster data available for this season.