Monmouth (IL)
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 848 (#457) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 825 (#523) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 892 (#617) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -22.6 (#369) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -22.2 (#625) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.048 (#667) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.031 (#534) | NetEff -23.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.016 (#649) | AdjNet -35.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.015 (#648) | AdjNet -35.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.114 (#644) | AdjO 52.6 | AdjD 75.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.189 (#671) | AdjO 54.9 | AdjD 70.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.100 (#662) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.111 (#662) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 835 (#470) | RD 100 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Augustana (IL) | L | 47 - 94 |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Greenville | L | 51 - 66 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Westminster (MO) | W | 56 - 55 |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Blackburn | W | 82 - 70 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Coe | L | 37 - 81 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Illinois Col. | L | 58 - 84 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Lawrence | L | 35 - 67 |
| 2025-12-14 | vs | Dominican (IL) | W | 71 - 59 |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Benedictine (IL) | L | 70 - 82 |
| 2025-12-29 | @ | Eureka | W | 96 - 67 |
| 2025-12-30 | @ | Dominican (IL) | L | 44 - 60 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Beloit | W | 62 - 61 |
| 2026-01-13 | vs | Grinnell | L | 57 - 82 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Lawrence | L | 26 - 73 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Lake Forest | W | 68 - 62 |
| 2026-01-27 | vs | Cornell College | L | 50 - 75 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Beloit | W | 75 - 65 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Grinnell | L | 42 - 71 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Ripon | L | 53 - 88 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anika Kinnear | - | 1 | 22.0 | 15.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 13.0 | -189 | -9.0 | -46.4 | 75.0 | 75.0 | 0 | -1.25 | 93.8 | 93.8 |
| Kynlee Stearns | - | 18 | 30.2 | 12.1 | 4.5 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 11.3 | 6.3 | -191 | -9.1 | -62.8 | 34.3 | 28.8 | 70.6 | -0.39 | 44.9 | 38.5 |
| Ella Goodrich | - | 9 | 26.2 | 11.6 | 7.6 | 1.1 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 2.8 | 9.7 | 10.4 | -20 | -2.0 | -24.0 | 41.4 | 26.7 | 58.3 | 1.96 | 48.1 | 43.7 |
| Ella Franck | - | 1 | 7.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | -62 | -3.4 | -41.6 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -2.24 | 47.4 | 50.0 |
| Jamie Springstead | - | 1 | 24.0 | 8.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 7.0 | -123 | -6.8 | -31.3 | 27.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -3.33 | 33.7 | 27.3 |
| Kiersten Cox | - | 15 | 18.8 | 7.1 | 4.8 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 7.3 | 5.1 | -93 | -5.2 | -116.5 | 43.6 | 33.3 | 66.7 | 1.66 | 46.0 | 44.5 |
| Averi Rangel | - | 18 | 23.6 | 6.2 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 6.9 | 0.6 | -161 | -7.7 | -65.0 | 33.1 | 29.5 | 60.0 | -4.0 | 44.0 | 43.5 |
| Jamaica Walker | - | 18 | 17.2 | 4.9 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 2.8 | 5.6 | 1.8 | -110 | -5.2 | -61.6 | 36.0 | 12.5 | 34.9 | -2.26 | 37.4 | 37.0 |
| Ava Pelaez | - | 16 | 17.0 | 4.9 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 5.3 | 1.5 | -122 | -6.8 | -75.5 | 32.9 | 24.1 | 62.5 | -1.19 | 40.8 | 37.1 |
| Tiah Riggs | - | 18 | 19.4 | 4.6 | 3.9 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 4.8 | 4.1 | -115 | -5.5 | -54.7 | 42.5 | 0 | 44.4 | -2.78 | 43.2 | 42.5 |
| Rylie Crecelius | - | 1 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | -172 | -8.2 | -55.1 | 40.0 | 0 | 0 | -3.53 | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Mia deGrasse | - | 1 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | -98 | -6.1 | -30.6 | 16.7 | 20.0 | 25.0 | -2.13 | 25.8 | 25.0 |
| Allie Hoy | - | 18 | 22.2 | 3.7 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 4.4 | 2.1 | -114 | -5.4 | -59.8 | 28.7 | 20.0 | 73.7 | -0.17 | 37.3 | 32.5 |
| Brooklyn Sellers | - | 18 | 18.2 | 3.4 | 5.3 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 4.1 | 4.9 | -116 | -5.5 | -48.1 | 31.5 | 0.0 | 60.0 | -3.06 | 36.3 | 31.5 |
| Hannah Peel | - | 14 | 10.5 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 3.3 | 1.6 | -60 | -3.8 | -52.4 | 30.4 | 27.8 | 64.3 | 0.22 | 40.3 | 35.9 |
| Kamryn Gillespie | - | 8 | 10.6 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 3.1 | -0.8 | -52 | -5.8 | -205.6 | 12.0 | 5.9 | 58.3 | -2.27 | 23.1 | 14.0 |
| Layla Rice | - | 14 | 11.7 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 2.8 | 0.5 | -125 | -6.9 | -143.7 | 17.9 | 18.2 | 50.0 | 1.19 | 26.1 | 20.5 |
| Ava Borchardt | - | 13 | 6.4 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 0.4 | -61 | -3.6 | -96.6 | 34.8 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.44 | 36.3 | 34.8 |
| Sara Mills | - | 1 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | -129 | -6.5 | -46.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.84 | 26.6 | 0.0 |
| Madison Finch | - | 1 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Makayla Campbell | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -1 | -0.1 | -3.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.17 | 0 | 0 |
| Alyssa Jones | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -33 | -1.9 | -45.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.65 | 0 | 0 |
| Meadow Rosendahl | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -27 | -1.6 | -35.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.34 | 0 | 0 |
| Izabella Zamora | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -43 | -2.9 | -97.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.14 | 0 | 0 |
| Ariana Rodriguez | - | 1 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -77 | -4.5 | -50.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Careah Baitlon | - | 1 | 21.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | -163 | -7.8 | -61.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Meghan Vasel | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -94 | -5.2 | -38.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.43 | 0 | 0 |
| Ariana Ferreira-Torralba | - | 1 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -209 | -10.0 | -48.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -3.72 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Emma Hart | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -86 | -6.1 | -99.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.95 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG