Monmouth (IL)
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1141 (#61) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1137 (#83) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1160 (#41) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -1.8 (#147) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -1.5 (#373) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.573 (#422) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.277 (#473) | AdjNet -8.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.266 (#476) | AdjNet -8.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.371 (#463) | AdjO 70.1 | AdjD 75.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.612 (#196) | AdjO 75.8 | AdjD 70.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.584 (#328) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.607 (#311) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1225 (#47) | RD 110 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Millikin | L | 55 - 71 |
| 2025-11-11 | @ | Eureka | W | 90 - 72 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Rockford | W | 82 - 78 |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | Westminster (MO) | W | 81 - 58 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Eureka | W | 86 - 61 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Dubuque | L | 77 - 88 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Illinois Col. | W | 74 - 72 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Knox | W | 71 - 64 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Lawrence | W | 81 - 75 |
| 2025-12-14 | vs | Blackburn | W | 76 - 66 |
| 2025-12-18 | vs | Loras | L | 59 - 81 |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Aurora | L | 74 - 78 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Cornell College | W | 70 - 67 |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | Ripon | W | 81 - 75 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Beloit | W | 87 - 55 |
| 2026-01-13 | vs | Grinnell | W | 94 - 82 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Lawrence | W | 75 - 62 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Lake Forest | W | 97 - 96 |
| 2026-01-27 | vs | Cornell College | W | 83 - 66 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Beloit | W | 74 - 66 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Grinnell | L | 0 - 2 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Ripon | W | 79 - 66 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zay Brown | - | 21 | 32.9 | 19.2 | 9.5 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 15.6 | 14.9 | 120 | 5.5 | 24.5 | 46.5 | 29.5 | 71.3 | 0.61 | 53.1 | 48.5 |
| Cameron Thomas | - | 22 | 30.1 | 16.4 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 1.7 | 11.7 | 8.6 | 112 | 5.1 | 27.1 | 47.1 | 38.8 | 75.0 | 0.5 | 60.3 | 56.2 |
| Max Maring | - | 22 | 22.3 | 11.1 | 5.0 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 6.9 | 9.8 | 57 | 2.5 | 17.1 | 50.3 | 57.1 | 75.5 | 0.18 | 61.7 | 54.3 |
| Kyle Taylor | - | 22 | 31.5 | 10.4 | 4.0 | 4.3 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 7.5 | 10.7 | 114 | 5.2 | 26.8 | 37.0 | 33.3 | 82.8 | 1.07 | 54.9 | 44.5 |
| Jason Huber | - | 22 | 26.6 | 6.2 | 4.8 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 4.3 | 9.5 | 118 | 5.4 | 33.5 | 42.1 | 36.7 | 70.9 | 2.36 | 57.5 | 51.6 |
| Kamran Banks | - | 21 | 13.9 | 4.7 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 4.7 | 3.0 | -17 | -0.8 | -7.7 | 35.4 | 35.7 | 63.9 | 0.2 | 42.7 | 37.9 |
| Jase Whiteman | - | 21 | 13.6 | 4.2 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 4.1 | 2.1 | -35 | -1.7 | -15.9 | 36.8 | 27.5 | 55.6 | -3.41 | 48.4 | 47.7 |
| Julian Samuels | - | 7 | 10.5 | 3.4 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 14 | 2.3 | 24.5 | 36.4 | 50.0 | 66.7 | -0.32 | 48.7 | 45.5 |
| Payton Crims | - | 22 | 11.3 | 2.9 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 3.7 | 32 | 1.5 | 26.4 | 55.6 | 23.1 | 61.1 | 4.01 | 60.5 | 58.9 |
| Turner Plumer | - | 9 | 10.3 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 3.4 | 38 | 4.2 | 40.6 | 47.6 | 0 | 62.5 | 0.61 | 51.0 | 47.6 |
| Jay Brown | - | 8 | 10.5 | 1.6 | 2.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 1 | 0.1 | 2.3 | 33.3 | 0 | 83.3 | 1.47 | 44.4 | 33.3 |
| Nick Plesko | - | 5 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.4 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 66.7 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Connor Watson | - | 22 | 8.6 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 | -15 | -0.7 | -9.5 | 29.2 | 27.3 | 50.0 | 0.77 | 42.2 | 41.7 |
| Ryken Howard | - | 4 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.5 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Ivan Iverson | - | 3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Brock Card | - | 8 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 5 | 0.8 | 44.1 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.75 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| O'Cien Valdes | - | 4 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Ryan Meyer | - | 6 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG