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Model Outputs
2021-2022
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 997 (#280) | HCA +115 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -6.5 (#595) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -8.7 (#461) | HCA +2.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.476 (#347) | AdjO 68.1 | AdjD 69.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.313 (#457) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.337 (#452) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 927 (#376) | RD 350 | GP 1 |
2022 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-11-20 | @ | South Alabama Jaguars | L | 45 - 78 |
2022 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
S. McKenna
|
- | 1 | 35.0 | 16.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 22.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.24 | 0 | 0 |
J. Williams
|
- | 1 | 31.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | -84 | -3.4 | -4.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.24 | 0 | 0 |
T. Moye
|
- | 1 | 18.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Jared Harbin
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Max Keebaugh
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
PJ King
|
- | 1 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -133 | -6.0 | -12.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.14 | 0 | 0 |
Tadeas Manas
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Keon Walker
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
D. Jones
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | 176 | 5.3 | 6.6 | - | - | - | 1.3 | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG