Mo. Southern St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1091 (#99) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1079 (#131) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1084 (#86) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +16.3 (#62) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +16.9 (#83) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.504 (#331) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.804 (#229) | AdjNet +12.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.812 (#228) | AdjNet +12.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.705 (#230) | AdjO 84.4 | AdjD 74.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.733 (#53) | AdjO 83.7 | AdjD 72.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.803 (#67) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.792 (#66) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1134 (#89) | RD 102 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-04 | @ | Missouri St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Arkansas Tech | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Southwestern Okla. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-20 | @ | Okla. Baptist | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Maryville (MO) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Rockhurst | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Tabor | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-02 | vs | Ozark Christian | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Rogers St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Central Okla. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-12 | vs | Quincy | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-19 | @ | Southwest Baptist | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-21 | @ | Northeastern St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Ark.-Fort Smith | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-06 | vs | Pittsburg St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Newman | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Central Okla. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Rogers St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | Ark.-Fort Smith | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Northeastern St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Newman | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Emporia St. | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Taylor | - | 21 | 24.0 | 18.7 | 3.2 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 2.7 | 13.8 | 8.7 | 112 | 5.1 | 36.6 | 50.5 | 5.0 | 82.0 | -0.47 | 57.3 | 50.7 |
| Gavyn Elkamil | - | 21 | 28.9 | 14.0 | 5.2 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 10.3 | 10.9 | 90 | 4.3 | 23.3 | 43.5 | 42.0 | 82.5 | 1.07 | 60.8 | 56.9 |
| Colin Ruffin | - | 18 | 24.6 | 12.2 | 4.6 | 3.2 | 1.8 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 8.0 | 12.6 | 83 | 4.6 | 28.3 | 49.3 | 29.6 | 70.9 | 2.03 | 60.2 | 54.9 |
| Isaiah Atwater | - | 21 | 24.1 | 9.4 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 7.9 | 5.2 | 84 | 4.0 | 25.0 | 45.5 | 39.1 | 92.9 | 1.66 | 57.5 | 55.8 |
| Tyrone Wright | - | 21 | 21.1 | 9.0 | 5.8 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.1 | 9.6 | 77 | 3.5 | 32.7 | 60.2 | 0 | 72.9 | 1.45 | 63.4 | 60.2 |
| Brayden Williams | - | 21 | 24.4 | 6.8 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 5.6 | 6.3 | 87 | 4.1 | 30.2 | 36.8 | 33.0 | 84.4 | 1.08 | 54.2 | 49.1 |
| Cody Lechlider | - | 5 | 11.4 | 6.2 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 4.6 | 4.0 | 47 | 9.4 | 955.9 | 52.2 | 28.6 | 71.4 | 3.28 | 59.4 | 56.5 |
| Hunter Fitch | - | 15 | 15.7 | 5.9 | 4.4 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 3.6 | 8.3 | 2 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 59.3 | 18.2 | 56.4 | -2.69 | 61.8 | 61.1 |
| Storm Gilchrist | - | 9 | 11.2 | 4.9 | 4.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 2.2 | 3.2 | 5.3 | 25 | 2.8 | 31.1 | 72.4 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.14 | 71.5 | 72.4 |
| Daniel Halldorsson | - | 21 | 13.1 | 4.2 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 4.7 | 2.5 | -5 | -0.2 | -5.9 | 38.8 | 30.6 | 100.0 | 0.76 | 44.7 | 44.4 |
| Tane Kirisome | - | 16 | 13.6 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 3.5 | 1.9 | 65 | 4.1 | 151.6 | 39.3 | 27.0 | 75.0 | 0.02 | 49.3 | 48.2 |
| Tanner Baird | - | 3 | 6.2 | 3.3 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 44.4 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 50.6 | 44.4 |
| Jackson Shorter | - | 19 | 11.3 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 3.1 | 80 | 4.2 | 212.9 | 42.9 | 23.8 | 85.7 | 3.38 | 52.1 | 48.8 |
| Prince Agbaeze | - | 9 | 6.4 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 2.4 | -12 | -1.3 | -20.5 | 72.7 | 33.3 | 40.0 | -2.43 | 72.0 | 77.3 |
| Van Collins | - | 5 | 6.2 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2.6 | 0.8 | - | - | - | 30.8 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.34 | 30.8 | 30.8 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG