Mo. Southern St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1118 (#90) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1108 (#96) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1084 (#86) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +15.6 (#45) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +16.9 (#83) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.504 (#165) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.804 (#101) | AdjNet +12.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.812 (#100) | AdjNet +12.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.705 (#101) | AdjO 84.4 | AdjD 74.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.733 (#53) | AdjO 83.7 | AdjD 72.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.803 (#67) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.792 (#66) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1134 (#89) | RD 102 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-04 | @ | Missouri St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Arkansas Tech | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Southwestern Okla. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-20 | @ | Okla. Baptist | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Maryville (MO) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Rockhurst | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Tabor | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-02 | vs | Ozark Christian | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Rogers St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Central Okla. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-12 | vs | Quincy | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-19 | @ | Southwest Baptist | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-21 | @ | Northeastern St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Ark.-Fort Smith | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Central Okla. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Rogers St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | Ark.-Fort Smith | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Northeastern St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-12 | vs | Northwest Mo. St. | L | 74 - 81 |
| 2026-02-14 | vs | Missouri Western | L | 65 - 66 |
| 2026-02-16 | @ | Pittsburg St. | W | 83 - 75 |
| 2026-02-19 | vs | Fort Hays St. | W | 64 - 60 |
| 2026-02-21 | vs | Neb.-Kearney | W | 101 - 92 |
| 2026-02-25 | @ | Central Mo. | L | 69 - 95 |
| 2026-02-28 | @ | Washburn | L | 74 - 84 |
| 2026-03-04 | vs | Northwest Mo. St. | W | 91 - 85 |
| 2026-03-05 | @ | Central Mo. | W | 70 - 67 |
| 2026-03-07 | @ | Rogers St. | L | 70 - 72 |
2026 Roster
No roster data available for this season.