Mitchell
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 823 (#331) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 829 (#325) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 874 (#702) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -12.1 (#276) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -14.4 (#604) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.279 (#304) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.111 (#318) | AdjNet -18.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.104 (#319) | AdjNet -18.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.216 (#325) | AdjO 70.6 | AdjD 84.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.356 (#624) | AdjO 73.6 | AdjD 80.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.262 (#618) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.267 (#620) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 831 (#527) | RD 105 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Manhattanville | L | 74 - 77 |
| 2025-11-12 | @ | Dean | L | 72 - 85 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Eastern Conn. St. | L | 63 - 76 |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | Purchase | W | 81 - 69 |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Westfield St. | L | 79 - 85 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | CCNY | W | 69 - 59 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Hartford | L | 83 - 84 |
| 2025-11-30 | @ | New Haven | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Anna Maria | L | 86 - 91 |
| 2025-12-08 | vs | Rivier | W | 74 - 73 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | JWU (Providence) | W | 86 - 66 |
| 2025-12-18 | @ | Warner | L | 78 - 103 |
| 2025-12-19 | @ | Webber Int'l | L | 64 - 66 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | St. Joseph's (ME) | L | 64 - 75 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Rivier | L | 68 - 71 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Elms | W | 65 - 46 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Saint Joseph (CT) | L | 82 - 91 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | New England Col. | W | 86 - 72 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Regis (MA) | L | 67 - 75 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Colby-Sawyer | L | 90 - 93 |
| 2026-02-03 | vs | Dean | L | 86 - 88 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Norwich | W | 71 - 68 |
| 2026-02-11 | vs | Albertus Magnus | L | 74 - 87 |
| 2026-02-13 | @ | Emmanuel (MA) | L | 80 - 98 |
| 2026-02-18 | vs | Coast Guard | W | 97 - 88 |
| 2026-02-21 | vs | Lasell | L | 74 - 77 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Butler | - | 21 | 30.6 | 18.0 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 16.7 | 4.4 | - | - | - | - | 37.6 | 27.8 | 70.0 | - | 47.3 | 42.9 |
| Abdul Mansaray | - | 22 | 32.0 | 16.6 | 8.2 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2.8 | 12.5 | 15.0 | - | - | - | - | 55.6 | 0 | 55.1 | - | 56.7 | 55.6 |
| Brandon Lee | - | 21 | 28.7 | 10.1 | 8.0 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 8.7 | 11.5 | - | - | - | - | 50.3 | 0.0 | 29.6 | - | 47.1 | 50.3 |
| David Stallworth | - | 17 | 16.7 | 6.4 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 4.7 | 4.6 | - | - | - | - | 48.8 | 36.4 | 78.6 | - | 58.5 | 53.8 |
| Matthew Carter | - | 3 | 13.6 | 6.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 5.7 | 3.0 | - | - | - | - | 47.1 | 50.0 | 40.0 | - | 49.5 | 50.0 |
| Zaveyn Tate | - | 18 | 18.8 | 5.7 | 3.7 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 3.4 | 6.8 | - | - | - | - | 64.5 | 50.0 | 61.8 | - | 66.3 | 65.3 |
| Adrian Alicea | - | 19 | 13.9 | 5.5 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 4.3 | 2.8 | - | - | - | - | 36.6 | 33.9 | 70.6 | - | 54.1 | 49.4 |
| Jaxyn Beaudet | - | 22 | 14.6 | 5.0 | 5.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 4.3 | 7.0 | - | - | - | - | 48.9 | 29.2 | 50.0 | - | 53.0 | 52.7 |
| Collin Jefferson | - | 24 | 14.5 | 4.4 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 2.3 | - | - | - | - | 41.7 | 42.4 | 62.5 | - | 57.7 | 56.5 |
| Tommy Daly | - | 22 | 25.3 | 4.2 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 4.1 | 3.6 | - | - | - | - | 41.1 | 43.3 | 75.0 | - | 49.7 | 48.3 |
| Lukas Sward | - | 19 | 13.7 | 3.1 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 2.3 | - | - | - | - | 39.6 | 25.0 | 82.6 | - | 50.8 | 41.7 |
| Lynwood Cogdell | - | 2 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Luke Pavia | - | 13 | 6.3 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 1.8 | - | - | - | - | 19.0 | 15.4 | 78.9 | - | 42.6 | 23.8 |
| Adam Gardner | - | 6 | 3.4 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | - | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 79.8 | 100.0 |
| Max Waters | - | 5 | 3.8 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.0 | -0.8 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG