Missouri State
Model Outputs
1999-2000
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1212 (#53) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1175 (#51) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1098 (#52) | HCA +114 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +7.2 (#75) | HCA +3.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +6.0 (#87) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.648 (#85) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.785 (#71) | AdjNet +11.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.787 (#71) | AdjNet +11.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.642 (#73) | AdjO 66.2 | AdjD 59.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.579 (#93) | AdjO 63.7 | AdjD 60.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.710 (#60) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.699 (#60) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1182 (#46) | RD 101 | GP 34 |
2000 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1999-11-20 | vs | New Orleans | W | 58 - 52 |
| 1999-11-26 | N | Toledo | W | 68 - 59 |
| 1999-11-27 | N | Fresno State | L | 90 - 100 |
| 1999-11-28 | N | Wyoming | W | 83 - 75 |
| 1999-12-03 | vs | Western Illinois | W | 71 - 49 |
| 1999-12-04 | vs | Southern Methodist | L | 60 - 70 |
| 1999-12-07 | vs | Tulsa | L | 60 - 69 |
| 1999-12-11 | @ | Texas Christian | W | 69 - 60 |
| 1999-12-18 | vs | Southern Illinois | W | 80 - 73 |
| 1999-12-22 | @ | Kansas City | L | 65 - 70 |
| 1999-12-29 | @ | Creighton | W | 59 - 58 |
| 2000-01-02 | vs | Saint Louis | W | 71 - 62 |
| 2000-01-05 | vs | Northern Iowa | W | 72 - 62 |
| 2000-01-08 | vs | Texas Christian | W | 75 - 74 |
| 2000-01-12 | vs | Wichita State | W | 70 - 63 |
| 2000-01-15 | @ | Indiana State | L | 60 - 62 |
| 2000-01-19 | vs | Creighton | L | 49 - 63 |
| 2000-01-22 | @ | Illinois State | L | 61 - 72 |
| 2000-01-26 | vs | Evansville | W | 75 - 44 |
| 2000-01-30 | @ | Bradley | L | 57 - 70 |
| 2000-02-02 | @ | Wichita State | L | 69 - 72 |
| 2000-02-06 | vs | Indiana State | W | 64 - 48 |
| 2000-02-10 | vs | Drake | W | 61 - 51 |
| 2000-02-12 | @ | Northern Iowa | W | 74 - 64 |
| 2000-02-16 | @ | Evansville | W | 81 - 74 |
| 2000-02-19 | vs | Bradley | W | 69 - 61 |
| 2000-02-23 | @ | Drake | W | 55 - 47 |
| 2000-02-26 | vs | Illinois State | W | 70 - 60 |
| 2000-02-28 | @ | Southern Illinois | W | 62 - 59 |
| 2000-03-04 | N | Drake | W | 62 - 50 |
| 2000-03-05 | N | Southern Illinois | W | 67 - 56 |
| 2000-03-06 | N | Creighton | L | 45 - 57 |
| 2000-03-16 | vs | Southern Methodist | W | 77 - 64 |
| 2000-03-21 | @ | Mississippi | L | 48 - 70 |
2000 Roster
No roster data available for this season.